National Weather Service guidance forecasts a high near 72°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) today, fueling trader consensus with 25% implied probability on 72-73°F and 22.5% on 74-75°F amid close competition. This positioning reflects GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 68-76°F, driven by uncertainty in coastal marine layer depth—persistent morning stratus from cool Pacific waters could cap peaks at low 70s under moderate onshore flow, while quicker burn-off and gusty winds mixing the boundary layer might push toward mid-70s. Following yesterday's cool, breezy conditions with gusts to 55 mph after March's record heat, models diverge on afternoon clearing timing. Hourly NOAA observations will sharpen resolution as peak heating nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 3?
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 22%
76-77°F 16.4%
70-71°F 13%
$42,200 Vol.
$42,200 Vol.
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
16%
78°F or higher
3%
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 22%
76-77°F 16.4%
70-71°F 13%
$42,200 Vol.
$42,200 Vol.
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
16%
78°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance forecasts a high near 72°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) today, fueling trader consensus with 25% implied probability on 72-73°F and 22.5% on 74-75°F amid close competition. This positioning reflects GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 68-76°F, driven by uncertainty in coastal marine layer depth—persistent morning stratus from cool Pacific waters could cap peaks at low 70s under moderate onshore flow, while quicker burn-off and gusty winds mixing the boundary layer might push toward mid-70s. Following yesterday's cool, breezy conditions with gusts to 55 mph after March's record heat, models diverge on afternoon clearing timing. Hourly NOAA observations will sharpen resolution as peak heating nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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