Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (59.5% implied probability) as Ankara's highest temperature today, closely trailed by 12°C (30.5%), reflecting the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest hourly guidance projecting daytime peaks near 11-13°C under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to moderate speeds. This subdued forecast stems from a persistent cool air mass over central Anatolia following a chilly week with highs below seasonal norms (early April climatological average ~14-15°C at Esenboğa Airport station), limited solar heating from overcast conditions, and upper-level troughing suppressing temperatures. ECMWF and GFS model runs reinforce this outlook, though intraday observations could shift outcomes as monitoring continues through afternoon peak heating hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 3?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 3?
11°C 60%
12°C 31%
13°C 6%
14°C 2.9%
$81,185 Vol.
$81,185 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
11°C
60%
12°C
31%
13°C
6%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 60%
12°C 31%
13°C 6%
14°C 2.9%
$81,185 Vol.
$81,185 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
11°C
$7,262 Vol.
60%
12°C
$5,565 Vol.
31%
13°C
$5,879 Vol.
6%
14°C
$5,277 Vol.
3%
15°C
$5,644 Vol.
1%
16°C
$4,713 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$7,737 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (59.5% implied probability) as Ankara's highest temperature today, closely trailed by 12°C (30.5%), reflecting the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest hourly guidance projecting daytime peaks near 11-13°C under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to moderate speeds. This subdued forecast stems from a persistent cool air mass over central Anatolia following a chilly week with highs below seasonal norms (early April climatological average ~14-15°C at Esenboğa Airport station), limited solar heating from overcast conditions, and upper-level troughing suppressing temperatures. ECMWF and GFS model runs reinforce this outlook, though intraday observations could shift outcomes as monitoring continues through afternoon peak heating hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$81,185End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (59.5% implied probability) as Ankara's highest temperature today, closely trailed by 12°C (30.5%), reflecting the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest hourly guidance projecting daytime peaks near 11-13°C under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to moderate speeds. This subdued forecast stems from a persistent cool air mass over central Anatolia following a chilly week with highs below seasonal norms (early April climatological average ~14-15°C at Esenboğa Airport station), limited solar heating from overcast conditions, and upper-level troughing suppressing temperatures. ECMWF and GFS model runs reinforce this outlook, though intraday observations could shift outcomes as monitoring continues through afternoon peak heating hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$81,185End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (59.5% implied probability) as Ankara's highest temperature today, closely trailed by 12°C (30.5%), reflecting the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest hourly guidance projecting daytime peaks near 11-13°C under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to moderate speeds. This subdued forecast stems from a persistent cool air mass over central Anatolia following a chilly week with highs below seasonal norms (early April climatological average ~14-15°C at Esenboğa Airport station), limited solar heating from overcast conditions, and upper-level troughing suppressing temperatures. ECMWF and GFS model runs reinforce this outlook, though intraday observations could shift outcomes as monitoring continues through afternoon peak heating hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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