The Turkish State Meteorological Service's latest forecast, updated April 4, projects Ankara's highest temperature on April 6 at 16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds around 5 km/h and minimal precipitation risk, driving trader consensus to a 34.5% implied probability for that outcome amid close competition from 15°C (26%) and 17°C (18%). ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover near 14°C, but their 12–18°C spreads highlight uncertainty from variable boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover, and an upper-level trough limiting advection of warmer air. Historical early-April highs average 14–16°C at Ankara's official station; new model runs overnight and April 5 observations could sharpen differentiation as diurnal heating and insolation become decisive factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 6?
16°C 37%
15°C 26%
17°C 16%
14°C 13%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
13%
15°C
26%
16°C
37%
17°C
16%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
2%
16°C 37%
15°C 26%
17°C 16%
14°C 13%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
13%
15°C
26%
16°C
37%
17°C
16%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Turkish State Meteorological Service's latest forecast, updated April 4, projects Ankara's highest temperature on April 6 at 16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds around 5 km/h and minimal precipitation risk, driving trader consensus to a 34.5% implied probability for that outcome amid close competition from 15°C (26%) and 17°C (18%). ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover near 14°C, but their 12–18°C spreads highlight uncertainty from variable boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover, and an upper-level trough limiting advection of warmer air. Historical early-April highs average 14–16°C at Ankara's official station; new model runs overnight and April 5 observations could sharpen differentiation as diurnal heating and insolation become decisive factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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