National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF models project a high temperature of 63-67°F at LaGuardia Airport on April 5, anchoring trader sentiment toward the 67°F or below outcome at 67.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air masses over the Northeast, combined with anticipated cloudy skies and light precipitation that will suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation. Recent 00Z and 12Z model runs over the past 24 hours have converged on this cooler cluster, down from earlier spread toward low 70s, amid climatological early-April averages near 58-60°F. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and exact cloud cover; watch NWS forecast updates and 06Z ensembles Saturday for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on April 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 5?
67°F or below 67%
68-69°F 18%
70-71°F 7%
72-73°F 4.6%
NEW
$13,953 Vol.
NEW
$13,953 Vol.
Apr 5, 2026
67°F or below
67%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
67°F or below 67%
68-69°F 18%
70-71°F 7%
72-73°F 4.6%
NEW
$13,953 Vol.
NEW
$13,953 Vol.
Apr 5, 2026
67°F or below
$1,932 Vol.
67%
68-69°F
$1,583 Vol.
18%
70-71°F
$1,072 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$855 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$910 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$1,512 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,741 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$1,261 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$839 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,158 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$1,091 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF models project a high temperature of 63-67°F at LaGuardia Airport on April 5, anchoring trader sentiment toward the 67°F or below outcome at 67.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air masses over the Northeast, combined with anticipated cloudy skies and light precipitation that will suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation. Recent 00Z and 12Z model runs over the past 24 hours have converged on this cooler cluster, down from earlier spread toward low 70s, amid climatological early-April averages near 58-60°F. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and exact cloud cover; watch NWS forecast updates and 06Z ensembles Saturday for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$13,953End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF models project a high temperature of 63-67°F at LaGuardia Airport on April 5, anchoring trader sentiment toward the 67°F or below outcome at 67.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air masses over the Northeast, combined with anticipated cloudy skies and light precipitation that will suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation. Recent 00Z and 12Z model runs over the past 24 hours have converged on this cooler cluster, down from earlier spread toward low 70s, amid climatological early-April averages near 58-60°F. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and exact cloud cover; watch NWS forecast updates and 06Z ensembles Saturday for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,953End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF models project a high temperature of 63-67°F at LaGuardia Airport on April 5, anchoring trader sentiment toward the 67°F or below outcome at 67.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air masses over the Northeast, combined with anticipated cloudy skies and light precipitation that will suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation. Recent 00Z and 12Z model runs over the past 24 hours have converged on this cooler cluster, down from earlier spread toward low 70s, amid climatological early-April averages near 58-60°F. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and exact cloud cover; watch NWS forecast updates and 06Z ensembles Saturday for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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