Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 70-71°F (25%) as the highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 70°F amid persistent marine layer from cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 58°F. Recent observations through April 3 show highs in the upper 60s, with moderate onshore flow limiting inland warming despite subtle high-pressure ridging. Key differentiators include stratus cloud burn-off timing—prolonging for 68-69°F outcomes (15.5%) or quicker clearing boosting 72-73°F (15%)—and minor model divergences on afternoon sea-breeze strength. Updated NWS forecasts Sunday will clarify as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 16%
74-75°F 13%
68-69°F 11%
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
9%
78°F or higher
9%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 16%
74-75°F 13%
68-69°F 11%
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
9%
78°F or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 70-71°F (25%) as the highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 70°F amid persistent marine layer from cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 58°F. Recent observations through April 3 show highs in the upper 60s, with moderate onshore flow limiting inland warming despite subtle high-pressure ridging. Key differentiators include stratus cloud burn-off timing—prolonging for 68-69°F outcomes (15.5%) or quicker clearing boosting 72-73°F (15%)—and minor model divergences on afternoon sea-breeze strength. Updated NWS forecasts Sunday will clarify as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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