Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 86-87°F range at 40% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature today, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office projecting highs near 85-88°F under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1 p.m. South-southeasterly winds at 10-15 mph and high humidity from recent Gulf moisture are fueling warm conditions following March 2026's record average of 70.8°F—the hottest on record—while isolated cloud cover and potential storms cap extremes above 90°F. Model consensus shows minimal spread, but afternoon forecast refinements could shift odds as convective timing affects peak heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on April 3?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 3?
86-87°F 41%
84-85°F 21%
88-89°F 19%
82-83°F 8%
$22,873 Vol.
$22,873 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 41%
84-85°F 21%
88-89°F 19%
82-83°F 8%
$22,873 Vol.
$22,873 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 86-87°F range at 40% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature today, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office projecting highs near 85-88°F under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1 p.m. South-southeasterly winds at 10-15 mph and high humidity from recent Gulf moisture are fueling warm conditions following March 2026's record average of 70.8°F—the hottest on record—while isolated cloud cover and potential storms cap extremes above 90°F. Model consensus shows minimal spread, but afternoon forecast refinements could shift odds as convective timing affects peak heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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