Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 7 around 17–20°C, reflecting trader sentiment fragmented across outcomes with 20°C or higher leading at 25.5% implied probability amid close competition from 16–19°C bins. This stems from a recent cooling trend following April 2's 23°C high reported by the China Meteorological Administration, as a frontal boundary introduces northeast winds and 50–60% precipitation risk, potentially capping daytime heating via increased cloud cover and sea breeze moderation from the East China Sea. Model disagreements on frontal timing amplify uncertainty in this transitional spring pattern, where historical early-April averages hover near 18°C at Xujiahui station. Watch for CMA daily bulletins and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 7?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 7?
20°C or higher 27%
16°C 19%
18°C 18%
17°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
12%
14°C
12%
15°C
16%
16°C
19%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
14%
20°C or higher
27%
20°C or higher 27%
16°C 19%
18°C 18%
17°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
10°C or below
$192 Vol.
1%
11°C
$157 Vol.
1%
12°C
$321 Vol.
1%
13°C
$29 Vol.
12%
14°C
$15 Vol.
12%
15°C
$1 Vol.
16%
16°C
$0 Vol.
19%
17°C
$35 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
14%
20°C or higher
$0 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 7 around 17–20°C, reflecting trader sentiment fragmented across outcomes with 20°C or higher leading at 25.5% implied probability amid close competition from 16–19°C bins. This stems from a recent cooling trend following April 2's 23°C high reported by the China Meteorological Administration, as a frontal boundary introduces northeast winds and 50–60% precipitation risk, potentially capping daytime heating via increased cloud cover and sea breeze moderation from the East China Sea. Model disagreements on frontal timing amplify uncertainty in this transitional spring pattern, where historical early-April averages hover near 18°C at Xujiahui station. Watch for CMA daily bulletins and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volume
$752End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 7 around 17–20°C, reflecting trader sentiment fragmented across outcomes with 20°C or higher leading at 25.5% implied probability amid close competition from 16–19°C bins. This stems from a recent cooling trend following April 2's 23°C high reported by the China Meteorological Administration, as a frontal boundary introduces northeast winds and 50–60% precipitation risk, potentially capping daytime heating via increased cloud cover and sea breeze moderation from the East China Sea. Model disagreements on frontal timing amplify uncertainty in this transitional spring pattern, where historical early-April averages hover near 18°C at Xujiahui station. Watch for CMA daily bulletins and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$752End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 7 around 17–20°C, reflecting trader sentiment fragmented across outcomes with 20°C or higher leading at 25.5% implied probability amid close competition from 16–19°C bins. This stems from a recent cooling trend following April 2's 23°C high reported by the China Meteorological Administration, as a frontal boundary introduces northeast winds and 50–60% precipitation risk, potentially capping daytime heating via increased cloud cover and sea breeze moderation from the East China Sea. Model disagreements on frontal timing amplify uncertainty in this transitional spring pattern, where historical early-April averages hover near 18°C at Xujiahui station. Watch for CMA daily bulletins and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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