Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96% implied probability to a 24°C high temperature in Chongqing today, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast of sunny skies, light northerly winds under 12 km/h, and a projected peak near 78°F (26°C equivalent, adjusted for airport observations). Morning data from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport— the market's resolution source via Wunderground—shows temperatures rising steadily amid a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning with early April climatological norms of 23°C average highs and minimal cloud interference. Model consensus supports this positioning, with historical diurnal heating patterns in spring favoring moderate peaks. Realistic challenges include sudden afternoon convection capping at 23°C or extended clear skies boosting to 25°C; hourly airport readings through evening will clarify.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?
24°C 98.0%
25°C 1.5%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$98,446 Vol.
$98,446 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
98%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 98.0%
25°C 1.5%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$98,446 Vol.
$98,446 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
98%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96% implied probability to a 24°C high temperature in Chongqing today, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast of sunny skies, light northerly winds under 12 km/h, and a projected peak near 78°F (26°C equivalent, adjusted for airport observations). Morning data from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport— the market's resolution source via Wunderground—shows temperatures rising steadily amid a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning with early April climatological norms of 23°C average highs and minimal cloud interference. Model consensus supports this positioning, with historical diurnal heating patterns in spring favoring moderate peaks. Realistic challenges include sudden afternoon convection capping at 23°C or extended clear skies boosting to 25°C; hourly airport readings through evening will clarify.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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