India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport show yesterday's maximum of 37.5°C, with today's forecast calling for 38°C under clear skies, yet trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 36°C at 94.5% implied probability, reflecting current hazy conditions and real-time readings hovering at 36°C that limit solar insolation and peak heating. Early-April climatology in Lucknow typically sees highs of 36-37°C amid dry, continental air masses, and multi-model ensembles like those from TimeandDate align with this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze clearance or stronger afternoon winds enhancing temperatures to 37°C+, with final resolution hinging on Wunderground's airport data by day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
36°C 95%
37°C 4.0%
40°C <1%
38°C <1%
$97,562 Vol.
$97,562 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
95%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 95%
37°C 4.0%
40°C <1%
38°C <1%
$97,562 Vol.
$97,562 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
95%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport show yesterday's maximum of 37.5°C, with today's forecast calling for 38°C under clear skies, yet trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 36°C at 94.5% implied probability, reflecting current hazy conditions and real-time readings hovering at 36°C that limit solar insolation and peak heating. Early-April climatology in Lucknow typically sees highs of 36-37°C amid dry, continental air masses, and multi-model ensembles like those from TimeandDate align with this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze clearance or stronger afternoon winds enhancing temperatures to 37°C+, with final resolution hinging on Wunderground's airport data by day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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