Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicating a maximum temperature around 31–34°C in Lucknow on April 4, driven by incoming thunderstorms, lightning, and squalls over eastern Uttar Pradesh that will increase cloud cover and reduce solar insolation. Recent observations show yesterday's high of 37.5°C (+1.1°C above normal), but a gradual 3–5°C drop is expected through April 3–4 due to a trough fostering convective instability and gusty winds. Historical early-April maxima average 36–37°C, yet below-normal seasonal outlooks and model agreement on partly cloudy to overcast conditions differentiate the closely matched 33°C-or-below (36%) and 34°C (34%) outcomes; clearer skies or missed storms could push toward 35°C (18%), with IMD updates through the day providing key resolution catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 4?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 4?
33°C or below 36.1%
34°C 32%
35°C 12%
36°C 8%
$29,357 Vol.
$29,357 Vol.
33°C or below
36%
34°C
32%
35°C
12%
36°C
8%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 36.1%
34°C 32%
35°C 12%
36°C 8%
$29,357 Vol.
$29,357 Vol.
33°C or below
36%
34°C
32%
35°C
12%
36°C
8%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicating a maximum temperature around 31–34°C in Lucknow on April 4, driven by incoming thunderstorms, lightning, and squalls over eastern Uttar Pradesh that will increase cloud cover and reduce solar insolation. Recent observations show yesterday's high of 37.5°C (+1.1°C above normal), but a gradual 3–5°C drop is expected through April 3–4 due to a trough fostering convective instability and gusty winds. Historical early-April maxima average 36–37°C, yet below-normal seasonal outlooks and model agreement on partly cloudy to overcast conditions differentiate the closely matched 33°C-or-below (36%) and 34°C (34%) outcomes; clearer skies or missed storms could push toward 35°C (18%), with IMD updates through the day providing key resolution catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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