Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C high in Taipei today at 97.5% implied probability, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest observational data and forecast updates showing partly cloudy skies with scattered morning showers in northern Taiwan capping daytime heating. Real-time conditions feature cloud cover and 20-30% precipitation chances through afternoon, limiting solar insolation after an initial frontal influence, aligning with historical April averages around 24-25°C at official stations like Songshan Airport. This positions 25°C as the market's skin-in-the-game expectation, though prolonged clearing could enable brief spikes to 26-28°C, or extended showers might suppress below 24°C—watch CWA hourly bulletins and late-day observations for resolution-defining shifts before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 3?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 3?
25°C 98.0%
28°C <1%
26°C <1%
30°C <1%
$67,950 Vol.
$67,950 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
24°C
<1%
25°C
98%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98.0%
28°C <1%
26°C <1%
30°C <1%
$67,950 Vol.
$67,950 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
24°C
$7,606 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,382 Vol.
98%
26°C
$3,998 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5,591 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,470 Vol.
1%
29°C
$6,073 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,268 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,706 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,813 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$9,579 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C high in Taipei today at 97.5% implied probability, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest observational data and forecast updates showing partly cloudy skies with scattered morning showers in northern Taiwan capping daytime heating. Real-time conditions feature cloud cover and 20-30% precipitation chances through afternoon, limiting solar insolation after an initial frontal influence, aligning with historical April averages around 24-25°C at official stations like Songshan Airport. This positions 25°C as the market's skin-in-the-game expectation, though prolonged clearing could enable brief spikes to 26-28°C, or extended showers might suppress below 24°C—watch CWA hourly bulletins and late-day observations for resolution-defining shifts before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volume
$67,950End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C high in Taipei today at 97.5% implied probability, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest observational data and forecast updates showing partly cloudy skies with scattered morning showers in northern Taiwan capping daytime heating. Real-time conditions feature cloud cover and 20-30% precipitation chances through afternoon, limiting solar insolation after an initial frontal influence, aligning with historical April averages around 24-25°C at official stations like Songshan Airport. This positions 25°C as the market's skin-in-the-game expectation, though prolonged clearing could enable brief spikes to 26-28°C, or extended showers might suppress below 24°C—watch CWA hourly bulletins and late-day observations for resolution-defining shifts before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$67,950End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C high in Taipei today at 97.5% implied probability, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest observational data and forecast updates showing partly cloudy skies with scattered morning showers in northern Taiwan capping daytime heating. Real-time conditions feature cloud cover and 20-30% precipitation chances through afternoon, limiting solar insolation after an initial frontal influence, aligning with historical April averages around 24-25°C at official stations like Songshan Airport. This positions 25°C as the market's skin-in-the-game expectation, though prolonged clearing could enable brief spikes to 26-28°C, or extended showers might suppress below 24°C—watch CWA hourly bulletins and late-day observations for resolution-defining shifts before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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