Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest fortnightly outlook, released two days ago, forecasting inter-monsoon conditions with thundery afternoon showers across parts of Singapore in the first half of April 2026, alongside daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C on most days and potential peaks above 35°C on a few. This drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 30–33°C outcomes, as variable cloud cover, shower timing, and localized urban heat effects could cap or boost peaks amid baseline April climatology averaging 31°C highs. Lower probabilities for sub-30°C reflect rare cooling from persistent rain, though model uncertainty persists ahead of NEA's daily updates through April 7.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on April 7?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 7?
32°C 32%
30°C 19%
29°C 16%
31°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
11%
29°C
16%
30°C
19%
31°C
15%
32°C
33%
33°C
15%
34°C or higher
11%
32°C 32%
30°C 19%
29°C 16%
31°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
24°C or below
$170 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$270 Vol.
1%
26°C
$279 Vol.
1%
27°C
$275 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1 Vol.
11%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
15%
32°C
$75 Vol.
33%
33°C
$33 Vol.
15%
34°C or higher
$1 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest fortnightly outlook, released two days ago, forecasting inter-monsoon conditions with thundery afternoon showers across parts of Singapore in the first half of April 2026, alongside daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C on most days and potential peaks above 35°C on a few. This drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 30–33°C outcomes, as variable cloud cover, shower timing, and localized urban heat effects could cap or boost peaks amid baseline April climatology averaging 31°C highs. Lower probabilities for sub-30°C reflect rare cooling from persistent rain, though model uncertainty persists ahead of NEA's daily updates through April 7.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Volume
$1,105End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest fortnightly outlook, released two days ago, forecasting inter-monsoon conditions with thundery afternoon showers across parts of Singapore in the first half of April 2026, alongside daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C on most days and potential peaks above 35°C on a few. This drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 30–33°C outcomes, as variable cloud cover, shower timing, and localized urban heat effects could cap or boost peaks amid baseline April climatology averaging 31°C highs. Lower probabilities for sub-30°C reflect rare cooling from persistent rain, though model uncertainty persists ahead of NEA's daily updates through April 7.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,105End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest fortnightly outlook, released two days ago, forecasting inter-monsoon conditions with thundery afternoon showers across parts of Singapore in the first half of April 2026, alongside daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C on most days and potential peaks above 35°C on a few. This drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 30–33°C outcomes, as variable cloud cover, shower timing, and localized urban heat effects could cap or boost peaks amid baseline April climatology averaging 31°C highs. Lower probabilities for sub-30°C reflect rare cooling from persistent rain, though model uncertainty persists ahead of NEA's daily updates through April 7.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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