Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 82-83°F at 51.5% implied probability, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast for low-to-mid 80s today amid mostly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 30% chance of spotty showers. This reflects strong agreement across GFS and other numerical models depicting a warm, moist Gulf air mass under a mid-level ridge, fostering above-normal spring heating above Houston's April climatological average of 79°F. Recent observations show overnight lows near 72°F and morning cloudiness from yesterday's northern-area rain, potentially capping peaks if showers increase; however, breezy conditions aid mixing for robust daytime warming. Afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations at key sites like Hobby Airport will sharpen resolution before evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on April 3?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 3?
82-83°F 52%
84-85°F 23%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 5.3%
$22,367 Vol.
$22,367 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
52%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 52%
84-85°F 23%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 5.3%
$22,367 Vol.
$22,367 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
74-75°F
$1,616 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,578 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,581 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$1,705 Vol.
16%
82-83°F
$2,763 Vol.
52%
84-85°F
$1,802 Vol.
23%
86-87°F
$1,499 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$829 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$5,315 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$975 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 82-83°F at 51.5% implied probability, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast for low-to-mid 80s today amid mostly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 30% chance of spotty showers. This reflects strong agreement across GFS and other numerical models depicting a warm, moist Gulf air mass under a mid-level ridge, fostering above-normal spring heating above Houston's April climatological average of 79°F. Recent observations show overnight lows near 72°F and morning cloudiness from yesterday's northern-area rain, potentially capping peaks if showers increase; however, breezy conditions aid mixing for robust daytime warming. Afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations at key sites like Hobby Airport will sharpen resolution before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$22,367End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 82-83°F at 51.5% implied probability, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast for low-to-mid 80s today amid mostly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 30% chance of spotty showers. This reflects strong agreement across GFS and other numerical models depicting a warm, moist Gulf air mass under a mid-level ridge, fostering above-normal spring heating above Houston's April climatological average of 79°F. Recent observations show overnight lows near 72°F and morning cloudiness from yesterday's northern-area rain, potentially capping peaks if showers increase; however, breezy conditions aid mixing for robust daytime warming. Afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations at key sites like Hobby Airport will sharpen resolution before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,367End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 82-83°F at 51.5% implied probability, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast for low-to-mid 80s today amid mostly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 30% chance of spotty showers. This reflects strong agreement across GFS and other numerical models depicting a warm, moist Gulf air mass under a mid-level ridge, fostering above-normal spring heating above Houston's April climatological average of 79°F. Recent observations show overnight lows near 72°F and morning cloudiness from yesterday's northern-area rain, potentially capping peaks if showers increase; however, breezy conditions aid mixing for robust daytime warming. Afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations at key sites like Hobby Airport will sharpen resolution before evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions