China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 6 at 27–29°C, driving the tight trader consensus with implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Recent thundershowers on April 3–4 introduced lingering mid-level moisture and high humidity (70–85%), moderating peaks through persistent cloud cover and potential morning drizzle, while partial clearing and southerly sea breezes could push toward 29°C if solar insolation increases. This forecast spread reflects inherent short-range uncertainty in subtropical monsoon conditions, where urban heat island effects compete with convective suppression; daily CMA updates expected April 5 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Historical early-April highs average 26°C, contextualizing the modest warming trend.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 6?
27°C 27%
28°C 25%
29°C 23%
30°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 6, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
7%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
23%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
3%
27°C 27%
28°C 25%
29°C 23%
30°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 6, 2026
21°C or below
$478 Vol.
1%
22°C
$261 Vol.
1%
23°C
$360 Vol.
1%
24°C
$111 Vol.
1%
25°C
$345 Vol.
5%
26°C
$226 Vol.
7%
27°C
$176 Vol.
27%
28°C
$312 Vol.
25%
29°C
$135 Vol.
23%
30°C
$299 Vol.
13%
31°C or higher
$213 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 6 at 27–29°C, driving the tight trader consensus with implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Recent thundershowers on April 3–4 introduced lingering mid-level moisture and high humidity (70–85%), moderating peaks through persistent cloud cover and potential morning drizzle, while partial clearing and southerly sea breezes could push toward 29°C if solar insolation increases. This forecast spread reflects inherent short-range uncertainty in subtropical monsoon conditions, where urban heat island effects compete with convective suppression; daily CMA updates expected April 5 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Historical early-April highs average 26°C, contextualizing the modest warming trend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ET
Volume
$2,915End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 6 at 27–29°C, driving the tight trader consensus with implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Recent thundershowers on April 3–4 introduced lingering mid-level moisture and high humidity (70–85%), moderating peaks through persistent cloud cover and potential morning drizzle, while partial clearing and southerly sea breezes could push toward 29°C if solar insolation increases. This forecast spread reflects inherent short-range uncertainty in subtropical monsoon conditions, where urban heat island effects compete with convective suppression; daily CMA updates expected April 5 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Historical early-April highs average 26°C, contextualizing the modest warming trend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,915End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 6 at 27–29°C, driving the tight trader consensus with implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Recent thundershowers on April 3–4 introduced lingering mid-level moisture and high humidity (70–85%), moderating peaks through persistent cloud cover and potential morning drizzle, while partial clearing and southerly sea breezes could push toward 29°C if solar insolation increases. This forecast spread reflects inherent short-range uncertainty in subtropical monsoon conditions, where urban heat island effects compete with convective suppression; daily CMA updates expected April 5 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Historical early-April highs average 26°C, contextualizing the modest warming trend.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions