Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 27°C (28%) and 26°C (27%) highest for Shenzhen on April 5, reflecting close alignment in short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak daytime temperatures near 26.5°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 70-80%, and light southerly sea breezes. Early April climatology shows average highs rising from 24°C to 27°C, with recent days featuring similar 25-26°C peaks and occasional showers that cap solar insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—more sun could push to 27°C or higher, while increased precipitation favors 26°C or below. Updated model runs expected daily from CMA could shift odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
27°C 28%
26°C 23%
28°C 20%
25°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
12%
26°C
23%
27°C
28%
28°C
20%
29°C
10%
30°C or higher
4%
27°C 28%
26°C 23%
28°C 20%
25°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
20°C or below
$1,033 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$941 Vol.
1%
22°C
$709 Vol.
1%
23°C
$578 Vol.
1%
24°C
$456 Vol.
4%
25°C
$356 Vol.
12%
26°C
$456 Vol.
23%
27°C
$416 Vol.
28%
28°C
$398 Vol.
20%
29°C
$663 Vol.
10%
30°C or higher
$613 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 27°C (28%) and 26°C (27%) highest for Shenzhen on April 5, reflecting close alignment in short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak daytime temperatures near 26.5°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 70-80%, and light southerly sea breezes. Early April climatology shows average highs rising from 24°C to 27°C, with recent days featuring similar 25-26°C peaks and occasional showers that cap solar insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—more sun could push to 27°C or higher, while increased precipitation favors 26°C or below. Updated model runs expected daily from CMA could shift odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ET
Volume
$6,619End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 27°C (28%) and 26°C (27%) highest for Shenzhen on April 5, reflecting close alignment in short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak daytime temperatures near 26.5°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 70-80%, and light southerly sea breezes. Early April climatology shows average highs rising from 24°C to 27°C, with recent days featuring similar 25-26°C peaks and occasional showers that cap solar insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—more sun could push to 27°C or higher, while increased precipitation favors 26°C or below. Updated model runs expected daily from CMA could shift odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,619End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 27°C (28%) and 26°C (27%) highest for Shenzhen on April 5, reflecting close alignment in short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak daytime temperatures near 26.5°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 70-80%, and light southerly sea breezes. Early April climatology shows average highs rising from 24°C to 27°C, with recent days featuring similar 25-26°C peaks and occasional showers that cap solar insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—more sun could push to 27°C or higher, while increased precipitation favors 26°C or below. Updated model runs expected daily from CMA could shift odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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