Official observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) stations, including Aeroparque Jorge Newbery—the primary reference for Buenos Aires city temperatures—recorded a maximum of 28°C on April 2 amid humid, unstable conditions with partial cloud cover and isolated showers. This outcome aligns with pre-event SMN forecasts projecting highs of 26–27°C, slightly exceeded due to transient clearings allowing solar heating despite high humidity suppressing further intensification. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified hourly data aggregates, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on measurement standards. Realistic challenges would require post-hoc quality control revisions by SMN or discrepancies across stations like Ezeiza, though such adjustments are rare for settled daily maxima; final bulletin expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 2?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 2?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$155,693 Vol.
$155,693 Vol.
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$155,693 Vol.
$155,693 Vol.
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) stations, including Aeroparque Jorge Newbery—the primary reference for Buenos Aires city temperatures—recorded a maximum of 28°C on April 2 amid humid, unstable conditions with partial cloud cover and isolated showers. This outcome aligns with pre-event SMN forecasts projecting highs of 26–27°C, slightly exceeded due to transient clearings allowing solar heating despite high humidity suppressing further intensification. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified hourly data aggregates, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on measurement standards. Realistic challenges would require post-hoc quality control revisions by SMN or discrepancies across stations like Ezeiza, though such adjustments are rare for settled daily maxima; final bulletin expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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