Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5, driven by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast projecting a maximum of 21°C under mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds ushering in a cold front. This follows a sharp cooling trend after early April highs near 28°C, as a frontal system increases cloud cover and suppresses daytime heating. Ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF models show slight divergence—some runs peak at 20°C with heavier overcast, others nudge toward 22°C if winds lighten—highlighting uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud evolution. Historical April averages hover at 22°C, but current synoptic patterns favor moderation; watch SMN's April 4 update and overnight model refreshes for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 5?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 5?
21°C 27%
19°C 22%
20°C 22%
22°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
11%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
27%
22°C
12%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
3%
21°C 27%
19°C 22%
20°C 22%
22°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
14°C or below
$465 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,104 Vol.
1%
16°C
$533 Vol.
1%
17°C
$722 Vol.
3%
18°C
$384 Vol.
11%
19°C
$435 Vol.
22%
20°C
$437 Vol.
22%
21°C
$434 Vol.
27%
22°C
$411 Vol.
12%
23°C
$260 Vol.
6%
24°C or higher
$518 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5, driven by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast projecting a maximum of 21°C under mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds ushering in a cold front. This follows a sharp cooling trend after early April highs near 28°C, as a frontal system increases cloud cover and suppresses daytime heating. Ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF models show slight divergence—some runs peak at 20°C with heavier overcast, others nudge toward 22°C if winds lighten—highlighting uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud evolution. Historical April averages hover at 22°C, but current synoptic patterns favor moderation; watch SMN's April 4 update and overnight model refreshes for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volume
$5,695End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5, driven by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast projecting a maximum of 21°C under mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds ushering in a cold front. This follows a sharp cooling trend after early April highs near 28°C, as a frontal system increases cloud cover and suppresses daytime heating. Ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF models show slight divergence—some runs peak at 20°C with heavier overcast, others nudge toward 22°C if winds lighten—highlighting uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud evolution. Historical April averages hover at 22°C, but current synoptic patterns favor moderation; watch SMN's April 4 update and overnight model refreshes for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,695End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5, driven by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast projecting a maximum of 21°C under mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds ushering in a cold front. This follows a sharp cooling trend after early April highs near 28°C, as a frontal system increases cloud cover and suppresses daytime heating. Ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF models show slight divergence—some runs peak at 20°C with heavier overcast, others nudge toward 22°C if winds lighten—highlighting uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud evolution. Historical April averages hover at 22°C, but current synoptic patterns favor moderation; watch SMN's April 4 update and overnight model refreshes for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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