Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a daytime high near 21-22°C at Buenos Aires' Ezeiza Airport on April 4, reflecting trader sentiment clustered around 20-21-22°C outcomes amid 1-3°C spreads that capture inherent short-range uncertainty. This follows a recent heatwave with record-breaking minimums earlier this week and today's forecasted 27°C maximum under humid, thundery conditions, as a frontal passage ushers southeast winds, decreasing clouds, and drier air to temper peak heating. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of afternoon cloud dissipation and sea breeze intensification, which influence boundary layer mixing and surface temperatures; climatological April highs average 23°C but vary with synoptic patterns. New observational data and model runs from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional overnight could refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
21°C 28%
20°C 22%
22°C 19%
23°C 12%
$21,072 Vol.
$21,072 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
22%
21°C
28%
22°C
19%
23°C
12%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 28%
20°C 22%
22°C 19%
23°C 12%
$21,072 Vol.
$21,072 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
17°C or below
$1,551 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,155 Vol.
3%
19°C
$1,476 Vol.
11%
20°C
$1,378 Vol.
22%
21°C
$1,531 Vol.
28%
22°C
$1,430 Vol.
19%
23°C
$1,300 Vol.
12%
24°C
$1,998 Vol.
5%
25°C
$1,734 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,161 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$5,359 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a daytime high near 21-22°C at Buenos Aires' Ezeiza Airport on April 4, reflecting trader sentiment clustered around 20-21-22°C outcomes amid 1-3°C spreads that capture inherent short-range uncertainty. This follows a recent heatwave with record-breaking minimums earlier this week and today's forecasted 27°C maximum under humid, thundery conditions, as a frontal passage ushers southeast winds, decreasing clouds, and drier air to temper peak heating. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of afternoon cloud dissipation and sea breeze intensification, which influence boundary layer mixing and surface temperatures; climatological April highs average 23°C but vary with synoptic patterns. New observational data and model runs from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional overnight could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Volume
$21,072End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a daytime high near 21-22°C at Buenos Aires' Ezeiza Airport on April 4, reflecting trader sentiment clustered around 20-21-22°C outcomes amid 1-3°C spreads that capture inherent short-range uncertainty. This follows a recent heatwave with record-breaking minimums earlier this week and today's forecasted 27°C maximum under humid, thundery conditions, as a frontal passage ushers southeast winds, decreasing clouds, and drier air to temper peak heating. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of afternoon cloud dissipation and sea breeze intensification, which influence boundary layer mixing and surface temperatures; climatological April highs average 23°C but vary with synoptic patterns. New observational data and model runs from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional overnight could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,072End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a daytime high near 21-22°C at Buenos Aires' Ezeiza Airport on April 4, reflecting trader sentiment clustered around 20-21-22°C outcomes amid 1-3°C spreads that capture inherent short-range uncertainty. This follows a recent heatwave with record-breaking minimums earlier this week and today's forecasted 27°C maximum under humid, thundery conditions, as a frontal passage ushers southeast winds, decreasing clouds, and drier air to temper peak heating. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of afternoon cloud dissipation and sea breeze intensification, which influence boundary layer mixing and surface temperatures; climatological April highs average 23°C but vary with synoptic patterns. New observational data and model runs from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional overnight could refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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