Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (30.5%) and 23°C (28.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 4, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest midday forecast—relayed via Hong Kong Observatory—projecting a daytime high of 24°C under cloudy skies, with overnight lows around 11°C. This reflects mild spring conditions in Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, where early April historical averages hover at 20-22°C, but recent model consensus from CMA and international sources like BBC Weather (25°C sunny) and others indicate a tight 23-25°C range amid variable cloud cover potentially limiting insolation and peak heating. Light winds and boundary layer stability further differentiate outcomes, with evening forecast updates from CMA expected to refine probabilities before resolution based on official observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
24°C 31%
23°C 29%
25°C 17%
22°C 16.5%
$12,384 Vol.
$12,384 Vol.
21°C or below
3%
22°C
17%
23°C
29%
24°C
31%
25°C
17%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 31%
23°C 29%
25°C 17%
22°C 16.5%
$12,384 Vol.
$12,384 Vol.
21°C or below
3%
22°C
17%
23°C
29%
24°C
31%
25°C
17%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (30.5%) and 23°C (28.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 4, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest midday forecast—relayed via Hong Kong Observatory—projecting a daytime high of 24°C under cloudy skies, with overnight lows around 11°C. This reflects mild spring conditions in Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, where early April historical averages hover at 20-22°C, but recent model consensus from CMA and international sources like BBC Weather (25°C sunny) and others indicate a tight 23-25°C range amid variable cloud cover potentially limiting insolation and peak heating. Light winds and boundary layer stability further differentiate outcomes, with evening forecast updates from CMA expected to refine probabilities before resolution based on official observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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