Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a narrow forecast spread for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 5, with Israel Meteorological Service reporting a recent drop from April 2's observed 25°C high amid persistent hazy skies and partly cloudy conditions that suppress peak solar heating. Aggregated models from sources like The Weather Channel project highs of 69–73°F (21–23°C) under sunny skies with blowing dust, aligning with early April climatological averages of 21–22°C and moderating westerly winds steering cooler Mediterranean air inland. Differentiating factors include haze intensity reducing insolation versus potential afternoon clearing for brief spikes to 22–23°C; new IMS bulletins expected within 24 hours could refine model consensus amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 5?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 5?
22°C 34%
21°C 29%
20°C 21%
19°C 10.9%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
11%
20°C
21%
21°C
29%
22°C
34%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 34%
21°C 29%
20°C 21%
19°C 10.9%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
11%
20°C
21%
21°C
29%
22°C
34%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a narrow forecast spread for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 5, with Israel Meteorological Service reporting a recent drop from April 2's observed 25°C high amid persistent hazy skies and partly cloudy conditions that suppress peak solar heating. Aggregated models from sources like The Weather Channel project highs of 69–73°F (21–23°C) under sunny skies with blowing dust, aligning with early April climatological averages of 21–22°C and moderating westerly winds steering cooler Mediterranean air inland. Differentiating factors include haze intensity reducing insolation versus potential afternoon clearing for brief spikes to 22–23°C; new IMS bulletins expected within 24 hours could refine model consensus amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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