Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (42.5%) and 24°C (33.0%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 4 at Ben Gurion International Airport, reflecting tight clustering in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs near 23°C amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds. Key differentiators include the persistence of morning low-level stratus clouds, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap temperatures at 23°C, versus earlier clearing allowing slight additional boundary-layer heating toward 24°C; sea breeze timing also plays a role in moderating afternoon warmth. Israel Meteorological Service notes ongoing hazy conditions with partly cloudy skies transitioning to clearer, while official observations begin early April 4 to resolve uncertainties in these short-range forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
23°C 44%
24°C 33%
22°C 10%
25°C 4.2%
$16,220 Vol.
$16,220 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
44%
24°C
33%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 44%
24°C 33%
22°C 10%
25°C 4.2%
$16,220 Vol.
$16,220 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
17°C or below
$2,101 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,822 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$956 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,043 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,260 Vol.
3%
22°C
$2,132 Vol.
10%
23°C
$1,376 Vol.
44%
24°C
$1,403 Vol.
33%
25°C
$1,447 Vol.
4%
26°C
$1,264 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$1,468 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (42.5%) and 24°C (33.0%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 4 at Ben Gurion International Airport, reflecting tight clustering in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs near 23°C amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds. Key differentiators include the persistence of morning low-level stratus clouds, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap temperatures at 23°C, versus earlier clearing allowing slight additional boundary-layer heating toward 24°C; sea breeze timing also plays a role in moderating afternoon warmth. Israel Meteorological Service notes ongoing hazy conditions with partly cloudy skies transitioning to clearer, while official observations begin early April 4 to resolve uncertainties in these short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$16,220End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (42.5%) and 24°C (33.0%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 4 at Ben Gurion International Airport, reflecting tight clustering in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs near 23°C amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds. Key differentiators include the persistence of morning low-level stratus clouds, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap temperatures at 23°C, versus earlier clearing allowing slight additional boundary-layer heating toward 24°C; sea breeze timing also plays a role in moderating afternoon warmth. Israel Meteorological Service notes ongoing hazy conditions with partly cloudy skies transitioning to clearer, while official observations begin early April 4 to resolve uncertainties in these short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,220End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (42.5%) and 24°C (33.0%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 4 at Ben Gurion International Airport, reflecting tight clustering in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs near 23°C amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds. Key differentiators include the persistence of morning low-level stratus clouds, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap temperatures at 23°C, versus earlier clearing allowing slight additional boundary-layer heating toward 24°C; sea breeze timing also plays a role in moderating afternoon warmth. Israel Meteorological Service notes ongoing hazy conditions with partly cloudy skies transitioning to clearer, while official observations begin early April 4 to resolve uncertainties in these short-range forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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