Official observational data from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's resolution source, show Tel Aviv's temperature peaking at 23°C midday on April 3 amid hazy skies and reduced solar insolation, as reported by the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS). This aligns with IMS forecasts of partly cloudy conditions, an additional temperature drop, and historical April norms around 22–24°C, reflecting typical Mediterranean spring patterns with moderating sea breezes. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 23°C reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies allowing a late-afternoon spike to 24°C or higher, though model consensus and current downward trend make this improbable ahead of sunset around 7 PM local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
23°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
22°C <1%
$55,425 Vol.
$55,425 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
22°C <1%
$55,425 Vol.
$55,425 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
22°C
$5,761 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,386 Vol.
100%
24°C
$6,027 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$5,360 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's resolution source, show Tel Aviv's temperature peaking at 23°C midday on April 3 amid hazy skies and reduced solar insolation, as reported by the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS). This aligns with IMS forecasts of partly cloudy conditions, an additional temperature drop, and historical April norms around 22–24°C, reflecting typical Mediterranean spring patterns with moderating sea breezes. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 23°C reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies allowing a late-afternoon spike to 24°C or higher, though model consensus and current downward trend make this improbable ahead of sunset around 7 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$55,425End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's resolution source, show Tel Aviv's temperature peaking at 23°C midday on April 3 amid hazy skies and reduced solar insolation, as reported by the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS). This aligns with IMS forecasts of partly cloudy conditions, an additional temperature drop, and historical April norms around 22–24°C, reflecting typical Mediterranean spring patterns with moderating sea breezes. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 23°C reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies allowing a late-afternoon spike to 24°C or higher, though model consensus and current downward trend make this improbable ahead of sunset around 7 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$55,425End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observational data from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's resolution source, show Tel Aviv's temperature peaking at 23°C midday on April 3 amid hazy skies and reduced solar insolation, as reported by the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS). This aligns with IMS forecasts of partly cloudy conditions, an additional temperature drop, and historical April norms around 22–24°C, reflecting typical Mediterranean spring patterns with moderating sea breezes. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 23°C reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies allowing a late-afternoon spike to 24°C or higher, though model consensus and current downward trend make this improbable ahead of sunset around 7 PM local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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