Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate maximum temperatures over northwest India, including Lucknow, will likely fall 3–5°C after June 28 amid shifting steering patterns and increased moisture, moderating the intense pre-monsoon heat wave that produced 44–46°C readings earlier in the month. Ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF reflect this uncertainty, with some runs showing daily maxima near 36–37°C on June 30 while others retain 38–40°C under lingering dry northwesterlies. Historical June averages hover around 37°C, but the timing of any monsoon advance or clear-sky radiative cooling creates the tight clustering between the 36°C and 38°C+ brackets visible in current market-implied odds. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 30?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 30?
35°C 24.3%
36°C 17%
37°C 14%
34°C 13.6%
NEW
$17,262 Vol.
NEW
$17,262 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
14%
35°C
24%
36°C
17%
37°C
14%
38°C or higher
11%
35°C 24.3%
36°C 17%
37°C 14%
34°C 13.6%
NEW
$17,262 Vol.
NEW
$17,262 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
28°C or below
$802 Vol.
1%
29°C
$759 Vol.
1%
30°C
$522 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$658 Vol.
1%
32°C
$2,226 Vol.
2%
33°C
$471 Vol.
9%
34°C
$568 Vol.
14%
35°C
$2,615 Vol.
24%
36°C
$2,512 Vol.
17%
37°C
$3,156 Vol.
14%
38°C or higher
$2,973 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate maximum temperatures over northwest India, including Lucknow, will likely fall 3–5°C after June 28 amid shifting steering patterns and increased moisture, moderating the intense pre-monsoon heat wave that produced 44–46°C readings earlier in the month. Ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF reflect this uncertainty, with some runs showing daily maxima near 36–37°C on June 30 while others retain 38–40°C under lingering dry northwesterlies. Historical June averages hover around 37°C, but the timing of any monsoon advance or clear-sky radiative cooling creates the tight clustering between the 36°C and 38°C+ brackets visible in current market-implied odds. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$17,262End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate maximum temperatures over northwest India, including Lucknow, will likely fall 3–5°C after June 28 amid shifting steering patterns and increased moisture, moderating the intense pre-monsoon heat wave that produced 44–46°C readings earlier in the month. Ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF reflect this uncertainty, with some runs showing daily maxima near 36–37°C on June 30 while others retain 38–40°C under lingering dry northwesterlies. Historical June averages hover around 37°C, but the timing of any monsoon advance or clear-sky radiative cooling creates the tight clustering between the 36°C and 38°C+ brackets visible in current market-implied odds. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,262End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate maximum temperatures over northwest India, including Lucknow, will likely fall 3–5°C after June 28 amid shifting steering patterns and increased moisture, moderating the intense pre-monsoon heat wave that produced 44–46°C readings earlier in the month. Ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF reflect this uncertainty, with some runs showing daily maxima near 36–37°C on June 30 while others retain 38–40°C under lingering dry northwesterlies. Historical June averages hover around 37°C, but the timing of any monsoon advance or clear-sky radiative cooling creates the tight clustering between the 36°C and 38°C+ brackets visible in current market-implied odds. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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