Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble models indicate a highest temperature near 33°C for Lucknow on September 15, with widespread cloud cover, thundershowers, and elevated humidity from active monsoon conditions expected to limit daytime heating and peak values. Trader consensus clusters around 32–34°C because short-range guidance shows minor disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity, which can shift maximums by 1–2°C through reduced solar insolation or localized clearing. Historical September averages near 33°C and the absence of strong dry-air intrusions or heat-trapping patterns support this narrow range, while updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 15?
33°C 53%
32°C 23%
34°C 20%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
23%
33°C
53%
34°C
20%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 53%
32°C 23%
34°C 20%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
27°C or below
$9 Vol.
1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
1%
29°C
$19 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$69 Vol.
7%
32°C
$0 Vol.
23%
33°C
$170 Vol.
53%
34°C
$47 Vol.
20%
35°C
$0 Vol.
4%
36°C
$23 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$1 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble models indicate a highest temperature near 33°C for Lucknow on September 15, with widespread cloud cover, thundershowers, and elevated humidity from active monsoon conditions expected to limit daytime heating and peak values. Trader consensus clusters around 32–34°C because short-range guidance shows minor disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity, which can shift maximums by 1–2°C through reduced solar insolation or localized clearing. Historical September averages near 33°C and the absence of strong dry-air intrusions or heat-trapping patterns support this narrow range, while updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$358End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble models indicate a highest temperature near 33°C for Lucknow on September 15, with widespread cloud cover, thundershowers, and elevated humidity from active monsoon conditions expected to limit daytime heating and peak values. Trader consensus clusters around 32–34°C because short-range guidance shows minor disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity, which can shift maximums by 1–2°C through reduced solar insolation or localized clearing. Historical September averages near 33°C and the absence of strong dry-air intrusions or heat-trapping patterns support this narrow range, while updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$358End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble models indicate a highest temperature near 33°C for Lucknow on September 15, with widespread cloud cover, thundershowers, and elevated humidity from active monsoon conditions expected to limit daytime heating and peak values. Trader consensus clusters around 32–34°C because short-range guidance shows minor disagreements on rainfall timing and intensity, which can shift maximums by 1–2°C through reduced solar insolation or localized clearing. Historical September averages near 33°C and the absence of strong dry-air intrusions or heat-trapping patterns support this narrow range, while updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions