Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17 at 100% implied probability, driven by the official observation from Benito Juárez International Airport's meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source affiliated with Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). This aligns with SMN's pre-event forecast of 28–30°C under a stable high-pressure system, clear skies, and typical mid-April warming trends, where average highs hover around 26°C but often exceed 28°C during dry spells. Realistic challenges would require a data revision from SMN or airport logs—highly unlikely post-validation—or discrepancies in measurement methodology, though historical precedents confirm such readings as final. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$44,475 Vol.
$44,475 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$44,475 Vol.
$44,475 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
25°C or below
$3,378 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,023 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,689 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,236 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,936 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$4,239 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,536 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,288 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,687 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,936 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$3,528 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17 at 100% implied probability, driven by the official observation from Benito Juárez International Airport's meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source affiliated with Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). This aligns with SMN's pre-event forecast of 28–30°C under a stable high-pressure system, clear skies, and typical mid-April warming trends, where average highs hover around 26°C but often exceed 28°C during dry spells. Realistic challenges would require a data revision from SMN or airport logs—highly unlikely post-validation—or discrepancies in measurement methodology, though historical precedents confirm such readings as final. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volume
$44,475End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17 at 100% implied probability, driven by the official observation from Benito Juárez International Airport's meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source affiliated with Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). This aligns with SMN's pre-event forecast of 28–30°C under a stable high-pressure system, clear skies, and typical mid-April warming trends, where average highs hover around 26°C but often exceed 28°C during dry spells. Realistic challenges would require a data revision from SMN or airport logs—highly unlikely post-validation—or discrepancies in measurement methodology, though historical precedents confirm such readings as final. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,475End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17 at 100% implied probability, driven by the official observation from Benito Juárez International Airport's meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source affiliated with Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). This aligns with SMN's pre-event forecast of 28–30°C under a stable high-pressure system, clear skies, and typical mid-April warming trends, where average highs hover around 26°C but often exceed 28°C during dry spells. Realistic challenges would require a data revision from SMN or airport logs—highly unlikely post-validation—or discrepancies in measurement methodology, though historical precedents confirm such readings as final. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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