Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 82-83°F in Miami on April 24, driven by verified National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), where the official high fell squarely in this range amid persistent overcast skies and southeast sea breeze winds around 5 mph. These conditions suppressed daytime solar heating and introduced cooler marine air, aligning with late April climatology—average highs of 82-83°F based on 1991-2020 normals—while morning readings peaked at 78°F by 10 AM. Realistic challenges include rare post-validation revisions from equipment malfunctions in NWS quality-controlled data, though such adjustments are infrequent; final daily CLI reports provide conclusive resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 24?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 24?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$141,217 Vol.
$141,217 Vol.
Apr 24, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$141,217 Vol.
$141,217 Vol.
Apr 24, 2026
71°F or below
$664 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$3,188 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$5,648 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$9,788 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$16,509 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$42,871 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$30,154 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$15,898 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$8,721 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$3,898 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$3,878 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 82-83°F in Miami on April 24, driven by verified National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), where the official high fell squarely in this range amid persistent overcast skies and southeast sea breeze winds around 5 mph. These conditions suppressed daytime solar heating and introduced cooler marine air, aligning with late April climatology—average highs of 82-83°F based on 1991-2020 normals—while morning readings peaked at 78°F by 10 AM. Realistic challenges include rare post-validation revisions from equipment malfunctions in NWS quality-controlled data, though such adjustments are infrequent; final daily CLI reports provide conclusive resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Volume
$141,217End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 82-83°F in Miami on April 24, driven by verified National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), where the official high fell squarely in this range amid persistent overcast skies and southeast sea breeze winds around 5 mph. These conditions suppressed daytime solar heating and introduced cooler marine air, aligning with late April climatology—average highs of 82-83°F based on 1991-2020 normals—while morning readings peaked at 78°F by 10 AM. Realistic challenges include rare post-validation revisions from equipment malfunctions in NWS quality-controlled data, though such adjustments are infrequent; final daily CLI reports provide conclusive resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$141,217End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 82-83°F in Miami on April 24, driven by verified National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), where the official high fell squarely in this range amid persistent overcast skies and southeast sea breeze winds around 5 mph. These conditions suppressed daytime solar heating and introduced cooler marine air, aligning with late April climatology—average highs of 82-83°F based on 1991-2020 normals—while morning readings peaked at 78°F by 10 AM. Realistic challenges include rare post-validation revisions from equipment malfunctions in NWS quality-controlled data, though such adjustments are infrequent; final daily CLI reports provide conclusive resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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