Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and supporting global models show tight clustering around a 30°C daytime peak for Milan on June 1, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. June climatology in northern Italy typically features highs near 26–28°C early in the month under transitional spring-to-summer conditions, with this event aligning closely to model consensus on subsidence and reduced cloud cover that favor modest warming. Official observations from regional meteorological networks confirm the realized maximum reached exactly this level. Minor forecast adjustments or localized microclimate variations could have altered the outcome only if models diverged substantially, which did not occur in the final runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on June 1?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 1?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$45,160 Vol.
$45,160 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$45,160 Vol.
$45,160 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
24°C or below
$502 Vol.
No
25°C
$364 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,130 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,445 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,297 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,738 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,448 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$8,485 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,221 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,284 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$2,246 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and supporting global models show tight clustering around a 30°C daytime peak for Milan on June 1, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. June climatology in northern Italy typically features highs near 26–28°C early in the month under transitional spring-to-summer conditions, with this event aligning closely to model consensus on subsidence and reduced cloud cover that favor modest warming. Official observations from regional meteorological networks confirm the realized maximum reached exactly this level. Minor forecast adjustments or localized microclimate variations could have altered the outcome only if models diverged substantially, which did not occur in the final runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$45,160End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
May 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and supporting global models show tight clustering around a 30°C daytime peak for Milan on June 1, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. June climatology in northern Italy typically features highs near 26–28°C early in the month under transitional spring-to-summer conditions, with this event aligning closely to model consensus on subsidence and reduced cloud cover that favor modest warming. Official observations from regional meteorological networks confirm the realized maximum reached exactly this level. Minor forecast adjustments or localized microclimate variations could have altered the outcome only if models diverged substantially, which did not occur in the final runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,160End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
May 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and supporting global models show tight clustering around a 30°C daytime peak for Milan on June 1, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. June climatology in northern Italy typically features highs near 26–28°C early in the month under transitional spring-to-summer conditions, with this event aligning closely to model consensus on subsidence and reduced cloud cover that favor modest warming. Official observations from regional meteorological networks confirm the realized maximum reached exactly this level. Minor forecast adjustments or localized microclimate variations could have altered the outcome only if models diverged substantially, which did not occur in the final runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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