Recent observational data from Milan weather stations show a daily maximum of 30°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southeasterly winds, aligning closely with the latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service model runs that converged on this threshold. Mid-June climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs near 26–28°C, so the current reading reflects modest positive anomalies from clear skies and reduced cloud cover. Traders have priced 30°C at essentially 100% implied probability because official thermometer readings have already reached this level without further intensification expected before sunset. A realistic challenge would require either a late-day surge from unexpected warm advection or a revision in how the reporting station records its peak, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the advanced hour and model consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on June 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 16?
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$56,205 Vol.
$56,205 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$56,205 Vol.
$56,205 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
27°C or below
$5,506 Vol.
No
28°C
$9,592 Vol.
No
29°C
$10,800 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,959 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$8,525 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,687 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,816 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,243 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,182 Vol.
No
36°C
$440 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$456 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Milan weather stations show a daily maximum of 30°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southeasterly winds, aligning closely with the latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service model runs that converged on this threshold. Mid-June climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs near 26–28°C, so the current reading reflects modest positive anomalies from clear skies and reduced cloud cover. Traders have priced 30°C at essentially 100% implied probability because official thermometer readings have already reached this level without further intensification expected before sunset. A realistic challenge would require either a late-day surge from unexpected warm advection or a revision in how the reporting station records its peak, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the advanced hour and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$56,205End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Milan weather stations show a daily maximum of 30°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southeasterly winds, aligning closely with the latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service model runs that converged on this threshold. Mid-June climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs near 26–28°C, so the current reading reflects modest positive anomalies from clear skies and reduced cloud cover. Traders have priced 30°C at essentially 100% implied probability because official thermometer readings have already reached this level without further intensification expected before sunset. A realistic challenge would require either a late-day surge from unexpected warm advection or a revision in how the reporting station records its peak, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the advanced hour and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56,205End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent observational data from Milan weather stations show a daily maximum of 30°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southeasterly winds, aligning closely with the latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service model runs that converged on this threshold. Mid-June climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs near 26–28°C, so the current reading reflects modest positive anomalies from clear skies and reduced cloud cover. Traders have priced 30°C at essentially 100% implied probability because official thermometer readings have already reached this level without further intensification expected before sunset. A realistic challenge would require either a late-day surge from unexpected warm advection or a revision in how the reporting station records its peak, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the advanced hour and model consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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