Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Centre and global models including ECMWF converged on a daytime maximum of 21°C for Moscow on May 24, driven by northerly flow, increased cloud cover, and stable atmospheric conditions that limited diurnal warming. This aligns with the market's near-certain 21°C outcome at Vnukovo International Airport, the designated measurement site, following a period of record spring heat earlier in May that has since moderated toward seasonal norms. Minor model variability in boundary-layer moisture or localized effects could theoretically produce a 1–2°C deviation, though ensemble spreads remained narrow and no such shifts materialized in final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on May 24?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 24?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$185,538 Vol.
$185,538 Vol.
May 24, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$185,538 Vol.
$185,538 Vol.
May 24, 2026
17°C or below
$845 Vol.
No
18°C
$756 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,844 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,210 Vol.
No
21°C
$72,900 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$39,618 Vol.
No
23°C
$21,853 Vol.
No
24°C
$16,112 Vol.
No
25°C
$13,899 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,407 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$7,095 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Centre and global models including ECMWF converged on a daytime maximum of 21°C for Moscow on May 24, driven by northerly flow, increased cloud cover, and stable atmospheric conditions that limited diurnal warming. This aligns with the market's near-certain 21°C outcome at Vnukovo International Airport, the designated measurement site, following a period of record spring heat earlier in May that has since moderated toward seasonal norms. Minor model variability in boundary-layer moisture or localized effects could theoretically produce a 1–2°C deviation, though ensemble spreads remained narrow and no such shifts materialized in final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volume
$185,538End Date
May 24, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Centre and global models including ECMWF converged on a daytime maximum of 21°C for Moscow on May 24, driven by northerly flow, increased cloud cover, and stable atmospheric conditions that limited diurnal warming. This aligns with the market's near-certain 21°C outcome at Vnukovo International Airport, the designated measurement site, following a period of record spring heat earlier in May that has since moderated toward seasonal norms. Minor model variability in boundary-layer moisture or localized effects could theoretically produce a 1–2°C deviation, though ensemble spreads remained narrow and no such shifts materialized in final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$185,538End Date
May 24, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Centre and global models including ECMWF converged on a daytime maximum of 21°C for Moscow on May 24, driven by northerly flow, increased cloud cover, and stable atmospheric conditions that limited diurnal warming. This aligns with the market's near-certain 21°C outcome at Vnukovo International Airport, the designated measurement site, following a period of record spring heat earlier in May that has since moderated toward seasonal norms. Minor model variability in boundary-layer moisture or localized effects could theoretically produce a 1–2°C deviation, though ensemble spreads remained narrow and no such shifts materialized in final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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