Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 28°C high temperature in Moscow today, backed by converging forecast models from Gismeteo and Russian Hydrometcenter indicating a peak under partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds. A persistent high-pressure ridge has advected warm air masses from the south, sustaining above-average warmth—early May climatological highs average 18°C—following 24–25°C peaks on May 5–6. Real-time observations at Vnukovo Airport reached 26°C recently, aligning with diurnal heating patterns and reduced cloud interference. Realistic challenges include afternoon convective showers capping insolation at 27°C or below, or unexpected clearing enabling 29°C; final resolution hinges on official station data from the Hydrometeorological Center after midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on May 7?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 7?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$80,491 Vol.
$80,491 Vol.
May 7, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$80,491 Vol.
$80,491 Vol.
May 7, 2026
20°C or below
$3,572 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,927 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,569 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,866 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,183 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,208 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,662 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,574 Vol.
No
28°C
$11,006 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$15,293 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$16,633 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 28°C high temperature in Moscow today, backed by converging forecast models from Gismeteo and Russian Hydrometcenter indicating a peak under partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds. A persistent high-pressure ridge has advected warm air masses from the south, sustaining above-average warmth—early May climatological highs average 18°C—following 24–25°C peaks on May 5–6. Real-time observations at Vnukovo Airport reached 26°C recently, aligning with diurnal heating patterns and reduced cloud interference. Realistic challenges include afternoon convective showers capping insolation at 27°C or below, or unexpected clearing enabling 29°C; final resolution hinges on official station data from the Hydrometeorological Center after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$80,491End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 28°C high temperature in Moscow today, backed by converging forecast models from Gismeteo and Russian Hydrometcenter indicating a peak under partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds. A persistent high-pressure ridge has advected warm air masses from the south, sustaining above-average warmth—early May climatological highs average 18°C—following 24–25°C peaks on May 5–6. Real-time observations at Vnukovo Airport reached 26°C recently, aligning with diurnal heating patterns and reduced cloud interference. Realistic challenges include afternoon convective showers capping insolation at 27°C or below, or unexpected clearing enabling 29°C; final resolution hinges on official station data from the Hydrometeorological Center after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$80,491End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 28°C high temperature in Moscow today, backed by converging forecast models from Gismeteo and Russian Hydrometcenter indicating a peak under partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds. A persistent high-pressure ridge has advected warm air masses from the south, sustaining above-average warmth—early May climatological highs average 18°C—following 24–25°C peaks on May 5–6. Real-time observations at Vnukovo Airport reached 26°C recently, aligning with diurnal heating patterns and reduced cloud interference. Realistic challenges include afternoon convective showers capping insolation at 27°C or below, or unexpected clearing enabling 29°C; final resolution hinges on official station data from the Hydrometeorological Center after midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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