Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service points to a peak temperature near 30°C in Munich on July 7, driven by residual high pressure and warm advection following the early-July European heatwave. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective development, with thundery showers potentially limiting afternoon heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This keeps 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows typical Munich highs around 24–26°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while still allowing for modest cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on July 7?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 7?
30°C 37%
31°C 30%
29°C 18%
28°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 7, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
18%
30°C
37%
31°C
30%
32°C
8%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 30%
29°C 18%
28°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 7, 2026
25°C or below
$468 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$23 Vol.
1%
27°C
$177 Vol.
1%
28°C
$461 Vol.
8%
29°C
$125 Vol.
18%
30°C
$265 Vol.
37%
31°C
$294 Vol.
30%
32°C
$64 Vol.
8%
33°C
$63 Vol.
3%
34°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service points to a peak temperature near 30°C in Munich on July 7, driven by residual high pressure and warm advection following the early-July European heatwave. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective development, with thundery showers potentially limiting afternoon heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This keeps 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows typical Munich highs around 24–26°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while still allowing for modest cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,098End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service points to a peak temperature near 30°C in Munich on July 7, driven by residual high pressure and warm advection following the early-July European heatwave. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective development, with thundery showers potentially limiting afternoon heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This keeps 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows typical Munich highs around 24–26°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while still allowing for modest cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,098End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service points to a peak temperature near 30°C in Munich on July 7, driven by residual high pressure and warm advection following the early-July European heatwave. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective development, with thundery showers potentially limiting afternoon heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This keeps 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows typical Munich highs around 24–26°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while still allowing for modest cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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