National Weather Service observations from Central Park's KNYC station confirm the highest temperature on April 26 peaked at 56°F around 3-5 p.m. EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 56-57°F outcome as hourly METAR data locked in the reading. Temperatures rose gradually from a morning low near 42°F under initial overcast skies, stabilizing amid clearing conditions, light northeast winds at 8-9 mph advecting cool marine air, and high-pressure influence capping warmth well below the late-April climatological normal of 64-66°F. This post-frontal setup followed rain on April 25, aligning with NOAA model guidance. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions; the final daily climate summary will affirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on April 26?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 26?
56-57°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$262,149 Vol.
$262,149 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$262,149 Vol.
$262,149 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
49°F or below
$45,454 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$45,059 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$32,756 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$22,374 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$31,086 Vol.
Yes
58-59°F
$35,400 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$19,243 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$10,017 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$6,802 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$5,957 Vol.
No
68°F or higher
$8,001 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations from Central Park's KNYC station confirm the highest temperature on April 26 peaked at 56°F around 3-5 p.m. EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 56-57°F outcome as hourly METAR data locked in the reading. Temperatures rose gradually from a morning low near 42°F under initial overcast skies, stabilizing amid clearing conditions, light northeast winds at 8-9 mph advecting cool marine air, and high-pressure influence capping warmth well below the late-April climatological normal of 64-66°F. This post-frontal setup followed rain on April 25, aligning with NOAA model guidance. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions; the final daily climate summary will affirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$262,149End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations from Central Park's KNYC station confirm the highest temperature on April 26 peaked at 56°F around 3-5 p.m. EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 56-57°F outcome as hourly METAR data locked in the reading. Temperatures rose gradually from a morning low near 42°F under initial overcast skies, stabilizing amid clearing conditions, light northeast winds at 8-9 mph advecting cool marine air, and high-pressure influence capping warmth well below the late-April climatological normal of 64-66°F. This post-frontal setup followed rain on April 25, aligning with NOAA model guidance. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions; the final daily climate summary will affirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$262,149End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service observations from Central Park's KNYC station confirm the highest temperature on April 26 peaked at 56°F around 3-5 p.m. EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 56-57°F outcome as hourly METAR data locked in the reading. Temperatures rose gradually from a morning low near 42°F under initial overcast skies, stabilizing amid clearing conditions, light northeast winds at 8-9 mph advecting cool marine air, and high-pressure influence capping warmth well below the late-April climatological normal of 64-66°F. This post-frontal setup followed rain on April 25, aligning with NOAA model guidance. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions; the final daily climate summary will affirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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