Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peak surface temperatures of 33–34°C under persistent clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of the late dry season. Morning observations as of early April 18 already show 26°C with low humidity and light winds, aligning with historical April averages exceeding 31°C at the airport, where maximums rarely dip below this threshold absent unusual cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breezes cooling the urban heat island effect, though forecast guidance shows minimal rain risk before evening. Airport METAR updates will provide real-time confirmation through resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on April 18?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 18?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,742 Vol.
$32,742 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,742 Vol.
$32,742 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
22°C or below
$1,134 Vol.
No
23°C
$930 Vol.
No
24°C
$838 Vol.
No
25°C
$799 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,226 Vol.
No
27°C
$11,236 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,285 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,224 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,550 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,952 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$3,569 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peak surface temperatures of 33–34°C under persistent clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of the late dry season. Morning observations as of early April 18 already show 26°C with low humidity and light winds, aligning with historical April averages exceeding 31°C at the airport, where maximums rarely dip below this threshold absent unusual cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breezes cooling the urban heat island effect, though forecast guidance shows minimal rain risk before evening. Airport METAR updates will provide real-time confirmation through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$32,742End Date
Apr 18, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peak surface temperatures of 33–34°C under persistent clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of the late dry season. Morning observations as of early April 18 already show 26°C with low humidity and light winds, aligning with historical April averages exceeding 31°C at the airport, where maximums rarely dip below this threshold absent unusual cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breezes cooling the urban heat island effect, though forecast guidance shows minimal rain risk before evening. Airport METAR updates will provide real-time confirmation through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,742End Date
Apr 18, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peak surface temperatures of 33–34°C under persistent clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of the late dry season. Morning observations as of early April 18 already show 26°C with low humidity and light winds, aligning with historical April averages exceeding 31°C at the airport, where maximums rarely dip below this threshold absent unusual cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breezes cooling the urban heat island effect, though forecast guidance shows minimal rain risk before evening. Airport METAR updates will provide real-time confirmation through resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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