Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in the exact peak temperature for Panama City, Panama, on April 4, with implied odds tightly clustered around 33–36°C due to ensemble forecast spread from models like GFS and ECMWF. Current atmospheric conditions feature high solar insolation, sea-level humidity near 80%, and light winds fostering daytime heating to 32–34°C baselines, but differentiating factors include timing of afternoon convection—delayed showers could allow 36°C+ via reduced cloud cover, while early thunderstorms cap highs at 33°C. Historical April climatology shows daily highs averaging 32°C with 2–3°C variability from urban heat and sea breeze onset. Watch National Meteorological Service updates and hourly observations for resolution clarity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on April 4?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 4?
34°C 28%
36°C 27%
30°C 26%
33°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
27°C or below
14%
28°C
14%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
28%
35°C
26%
36°C
27%
37°C or higher
14%
34°C 28%
36°C 27%
30°C 26%
33°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
27°C or below
$10 Vol.
14%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$0 Vol.
26%
34°C
$0 Vol.
28%
35°C
$0 Vol.
26%
36°C
$0 Vol.
27%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in the exact peak temperature for Panama City, Panama, on April 4, with implied odds tightly clustered around 33–36°C due to ensemble forecast spread from models like GFS and ECMWF. Current atmospheric conditions feature high solar insolation, sea-level humidity near 80%, and light winds fostering daytime heating to 32–34°C baselines, but differentiating factors include timing of afternoon convection—delayed showers could allow 36°C+ via reduced cloud cover, while early thunderstorms cap highs at 33°C. Historical April climatology shows daily highs averaging 32°C with 2–3°C variability from urban heat and sea breeze onset. Watch National Meteorological Service updates and hourly observations for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$10End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in the exact peak temperature for Panama City, Panama, on April 4, with implied odds tightly clustered around 33–36°C due to ensemble forecast spread from models like GFS and ECMWF. Current atmospheric conditions feature high solar insolation, sea-level humidity near 80%, and light winds fostering daytime heating to 32–34°C baselines, but differentiating factors include timing of afternoon convection—delayed showers could allow 36°C+ via reduced cloud cover, while early thunderstorms cap highs at 33°C. Historical April climatology shows daily highs averaging 32°C with 2–3°C variability from urban heat and sea breeze onset. Watch National Meteorological Service updates and hourly observations for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in the exact peak temperature for Panama City, Panama, on April 4, with implied odds tightly clustered around 33–36°C due to ensemble forecast spread from models like GFS and ECMWF. Current atmospheric conditions feature high solar insolation, sea-level humidity near 80%, and light winds fostering daytime heating to 32–34°C baselines, but differentiating factors include timing of afternoon convection—delayed showers could allow 36°C+ via reduced cloud cover, while early thunderstorms cap highs at 33°C. Historical April climatology shows daily highs averaging 32°C with 2–3°C variability from urban heat and sea breeze onset. Watch National Meteorological Service updates and hourly observations for resolution clarity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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