Official meteorological observations from the Paris-Le Bourget station established a daily maximum of 25°C on May 31, aligning with Météo-France data amid a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France. This outcome reflects verified station measurements rather than models, with the market-implied probability near 100% driven by the release of final recorded values following several days of elevated temperatures earlier in the week. Minor revisions to preliminary reports remain theoretically possible but are rare once quality-controlled data are published, while alternative outcomes below 24°C or at 26°C+ would require substantial discrepancies from the authoritative reference station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on May 31?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 31?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$217,214 Vol.
$217,214 Vol.
May 31, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$217,214 Vol.
$217,214 Vol.
May 31, 2026
18°C or below
$2,543 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,656 Vol.
No
20°C
$9,015 Vol.
No
21°C
$19,315 Vol.
No
22°C
$28,683 Vol.
No
23°C
$42,908 Vol.
No
24°C
$33,148 Vol.
No
25°C
$32,203 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$18,884 Vol.
No
27°C
$13,970 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$13,889 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from the Paris-Le Bourget station established a daily maximum of 25°C on May 31, aligning with Météo-France data amid a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France. This outcome reflects verified station measurements rather than models, with the market-implied probability near 100% driven by the release of final recorded values following several days of elevated temperatures earlier in the week. Minor revisions to preliminary reports remain theoretically possible but are rare once quality-controlled data are published, while alternative outcomes below 24°C or at 26°C+ would require substantial discrepancies from the authoritative reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$217,214End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from the Paris-Le Bourget station established a daily maximum of 25°C on May 31, aligning with Météo-France data amid a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France. This outcome reflects verified station measurements rather than models, with the market-implied probability near 100% driven by the release of final recorded values following several days of elevated temperatures earlier in the week. Minor revisions to preliminary reports remain theoretically possible but are rare once quality-controlled data are published, while alternative outcomes below 24°C or at 26°C+ would require substantial discrepancies from the authoritative reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$217,214End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from the Paris-Le Bourget station established a daily maximum of 25°C on May 31, aligning with Météo-France data amid a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France. This outcome reflects verified station measurements rather than models, with the market-implied probability near 100% driven by the release of final recorded values following several days of elevated temperatures earlier in the week. Minor revisions to preliminary reports remain theoretically possible but are rare once quality-controlled data are published, while alternative outcomes below 24°C or at 26°C+ would require substantial discrepancies from the authoritative reference station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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