Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Qingdao's June 3 high will remain at or below 24°C, driven by persistent maritime air influence from the Yellow Sea and a stable northeasterly flow suppressing daytime warming. Early June climatology shows average highs near 23°C, with current model consensus aligning closely due to elevated humidity, patchy cloud cover, and no strong warm advection. Coastal sites like Qingdao rarely exceed this threshold without a pronounced southerly shift or clear-sky radiative heating, both absent in latest runs. Market consensus at 100% for 24°C or below reflects this data alignment, though an unexpected model revision showing rapid warming could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 3?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 3?
24°C or below 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$32,891 Vol.
$32,891 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
24°C or below
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
24°C or below 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$32,891 Vol.
$32,891 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
24°C or below
$8,523 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$5,272 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,654 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,600 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,085 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,959 Vol.
No
30°C
$878 Vol.
No
31°C
$865 Vol.
No
32°C
$902 Vol.
No
33°C
$676 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$480 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Qingdao's June 3 high will remain at or below 24°C, driven by persistent maritime air influence from the Yellow Sea and a stable northeasterly flow suppressing daytime warming. Early June climatology shows average highs near 23°C, with current model consensus aligning closely due to elevated humidity, patchy cloud cover, and no strong warm advection. Coastal sites like Qingdao rarely exceed this threshold without a pronounced southerly shift or clear-sky radiative heating, both absent in latest runs. Market consensus at 100% for 24°C or below reflects this data alignment, though an unexpected model revision showing rapid warming could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$32,891End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Qingdao's June 3 high will remain at or below 24°C, driven by persistent maritime air influence from the Yellow Sea and a stable northeasterly flow suppressing daytime warming. Early June climatology shows average highs near 23°C, with current model consensus aligning closely due to elevated humidity, patchy cloud cover, and no strong warm advection. Coastal sites like Qingdao rarely exceed this threshold without a pronounced southerly shift or clear-sky radiative heating, both absent in latest runs. Market consensus at 100% for 24°C or below reflects this data alignment, though an unexpected model revision showing rapid warming could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,891End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Qingdao's June 3 high will remain at or below 24°C, driven by persistent maritime air influence from the Yellow Sea and a stable northeasterly flow suppressing daytime warming. Early June climatology shows average highs near 23°C, with current model consensus aligning closely due to elevated humidity, patchy cloud cover, and no strong warm advection. Coastal sites like Qingdao rarely exceed this threshold without a pronounced southerly shift or clear-sky radiative heating, both absent in latest runs. Market consensus at 100% for 24°C or below reflects this data alignment, though an unexpected model revision showing rapid warming could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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