Strong forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models supports trader positioning at 100% implied probability for a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 9, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover along the Shandong coast. Recent model runs show daytime heating under light southerly flow, with surface temperatures building rapidly after sunrise amid typical early-summer insolation values exceeding 800 W/m². Historical June climatology places average highs near 24–26°C, so this outcome reflects an anomalous but well-supported warm anomaly. Resolution hinges on official station readings; an unexpected marine layer or frontal passage could still cap readings below threshold before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 9?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 9?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$39,019 Vol.
$39,019 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$39,019 Vol.
$39,019 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
20°C or below
$183 Vol.
No
21°C
$454 Vol.
No
22°C
$727 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,254 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,628 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,386 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,024 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,581 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,508 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,538 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$6,736 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models supports trader positioning at 100% implied probability for a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 9, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover along the Shandong coast. Recent model runs show daytime heating under light southerly flow, with surface temperatures building rapidly after sunrise amid typical early-summer insolation values exceeding 800 W/m². Historical June climatology places average highs near 24–26°C, so this outcome reflects an anomalous but well-supported warm anomaly. Resolution hinges on official station readings; an unexpected marine layer or frontal passage could still cap readings below threshold before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$39,019End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models supports trader positioning at 100% implied probability for a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 9, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover along the Shandong coast. Recent model runs show daytime heating under light southerly flow, with surface temperatures building rapidly after sunrise amid typical early-summer insolation values exceeding 800 W/m². Historical June climatology places average highs near 24–26°C, so this outcome reflects an anomalous but well-supported warm anomaly. Resolution hinges on official station readings; an unexpected marine layer or frontal passage could still cap readings below threshold before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,019End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Strong forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models supports trader positioning at 100% implied probability for a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 9, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover along the Shandong coast. Recent model runs show daytime heating under light southerly flow, with surface temperatures building rapidly after sunrise amid typical early-summer insolation values exceeding 800 W/m². Historical June climatology places average highs near 24–26°C, so this outcome reflects an anomalous but well-supported warm anomaly. Resolution hinges on official station readings; an unexpected marine layer or frontal passage could still cap readings below threshold before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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