Current meteorological observations and forecast models for Shanghai on June 6 indicate a maximum air temperature of 26°C, driving the near-certain market consensus. Official monitoring shows typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies, aligning with climatological norms for the date where daily highs rarely deviate sharply without major synoptic shifts. Ensemble predictions from global and regional models exhibit tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread in projected peaks. A sudden influx of warmer air masses or revised observational data could theoretically alter the outcome, though such changes remain improbable given the stability of current steering patterns and boundary conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 6?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$114,989 Vol.
$114,989 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$114,989 Vol.
$114,989 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current meteorological observations and forecast models for Shanghai on June 6 indicate a maximum air temperature of 26°C, driving the near-certain market consensus. Official monitoring shows typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies, aligning with climatological norms for the date where daily highs rarely deviate sharply without major synoptic shifts. Ensemble predictions from global and regional models exhibit tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread in projected peaks. A sudden influx of warmer air masses or revised observational data could theoretically alter the outcome, though such changes remain improbable given the stability of current steering patterns and boundary conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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