Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from regional forecasting agencies indicate that Shenzhen's daily maximum temperature on June 3 will reach 34°C under typical early-summer subtropical high-pressure conditions, with limited cloud cover and moderate southerly flow enhancing daytime heating. This aligns with climatological baselines where June highs often range 30–33°C but can peak higher during clear periods. The market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the final recorded value from official stations, given the day's progression. Minor revisions in post-analysis data or localized variations at measurement sites represent the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain unlikely at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 3?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$133,974 Vol.
$133,974 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$133,974 Vol.
$133,974 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
25°C or below
$528 Vol.
No
26°C
$326 Vol.
No
27°C
$686 Vol.
No
28°C
$765 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,433 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,212 Vol.
No
31°C
$20,755 Vol.
No
32°C
$21,468 Vol.
No
33°C
$40,400 Vol.
No
34°C
$17,656 Vol.
Yes
35°C or higher
$26,744 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from regional forecasting agencies indicate that Shenzhen's daily maximum temperature on June 3 will reach 34°C under typical early-summer subtropical high-pressure conditions, with limited cloud cover and moderate southerly flow enhancing daytime heating. This aligns with climatological baselines where June highs often range 30–33°C but can peak higher during clear periods. The market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the final recorded value from official stations, given the day's progression. Minor revisions in post-analysis data or localized variations at measurement sites represent the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain unlikely at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volume
$133,974End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from regional forecasting agencies indicate that Shenzhen's daily maximum temperature on June 3 will reach 34°C under typical early-summer subtropical high-pressure conditions, with limited cloud cover and moderate southerly flow enhancing daytime heating. This aligns with climatological baselines where June highs often range 30–33°C but can peak higher during clear periods. The market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the final recorded value from official stations, given the day's progression. Minor revisions in post-analysis data or localized variations at measurement sites represent the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain unlikely at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$133,974End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from regional forecasting agencies indicate that Shenzhen's daily maximum temperature on June 3 will reach 34°C under typical early-summer subtropical high-pressure conditions, with limited cloud cover and moderate southerly flow enhancing daytime heating. This aligns with climatological baselines where June highs often range 30–33°C but can peak higher during clear periods. The market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the final recorded value from official stations, given the day's progression. Minor revisions in post-analysis data or localized variations at measurement sites represent the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain unlikely at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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