Recent forecast models and observational data from agencies tracking Mediterranean conditions position 32°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv's September 11 high, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and typical early autumn humidity supporting a daytime peak near 31–32°C. Multiple runs converge on this range without indications of stronger warming or cooling influences, aligning with historical September baselines around 30°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 78% implied probability for 32°C versus 18.5% for 33°C, incorporates real-time updates from sources like the GFS and local monitoring, with minimal divergence expected before resolution as conditions remain stable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
32°C 79%
31°C 24%
33°C 3%
34°C <1%
$13,327 Vol.
$13,327 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
24%
32°C
79%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 79%
31°C 24%
33°C 3%
34°C <1%
$13,327 Vol.
$13,327 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
28°C or below
$980 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$418 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$780 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,591 Vol.
24%
32°C
$3,068 Vol.
79%
33°C
$2,723 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$586 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$230 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and observational data from agencies tracking Mediterranean conditions position 32°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv's September 11 high, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and typical early autumn humidity supporting a daytime peak near 31–32°C. Multiple runs converge on this range without indications of stronger warming or cooling influences, aligning with historical September baselines around 30°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 78% implied probability for 32°C versus 18.5% for 33°C, incorporates real-time updates from sources like the GFS and local monitoring, with minimal divergence expected before resolution as conditions remain stable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,327End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and observational data from agencies tracking Mediterranean conditions position 32°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv's September 11 high, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and typical early autumn humidity supporting a daytime peak near 31–32°C. Multiple runs converge on this range without indications of stronger warming or cooling influences, aligning with historical September baselines around 30°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 78% implied probability for 32°C versus 18.5% for 33°C, incorporates real-time updates from sources like the GFS and local monitoring, with minimal divergence expected before resolution as conditions remain stable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,327End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models and observational data from agencies tracking Mediterranean conditions position 32°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv's September 11 high, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and typical early autumn humidity supporting a daytime peak near 31–32°C. Multiple runs converge on this range without indications of stronger warming or cooling influences, aligning with historical September baselines around 30°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 78% implied probability for 32°C versus 18.5% for 33°C, incorporates real-time updates from sources like the GFS and local monitoring, with minimal divergence expected before resolution as conditions remain stable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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