Latest numerical weather models from agencies including the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles project a daytime maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 13 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. These outputs, updated within the past 24 hours, show minimal day-to-day change and align closely with recent observations of 30–31°C highs, keeping the market-implied probability highest for 32°C. Historical September maxima average around 28–30°C, so the current forecast reflects modest above-normal warmth without extreme heat. Traders will watch the next model cycles and any official forecast revisions for small adjustments to peak temperature before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 13?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 13?
32°C 60%
33°C 33%
31°C 8%
34°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
60%
33°C
33%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 60%
33°C 33%
31°C 8%
34°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
28°C or below
$155 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$7 Vol.
8%
32°C
$109 Vol.
60%
33°C
$349 Vol.
33%
34°C
$75 Vol.
4%
35°C
$57 Vol.
1%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C
$40 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$140 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from agencies including the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles project a daytime maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 13 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. These outputs, updated within the past 24 hours, show minimal day-to-day change and align closely with recent observations of 30–31°C highs, keeping the market-implied probability highest for 32°C. Historical September maxima average around 28–30°C, so the current forecast reflects modest above-normal warmth without extreme heat. Traders will watch the next model cycles and any official forecast revisions for small adjustments to peak temperature before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$933End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from agencies including the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles project a daytime maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 13 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. These outputs, updated within the past 24 hours, show minimal day-to-day change and align closely with recent observations of 30–31°C highs, keeping the market-implied probability highest for 32°C. Historical September maxima average around 28–30°C, so the current forecast reflects modest above-normal warmth without extreme heat. Traders will watch the next model cycles and any official forecast revisions for small adjustments to peak temperature before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$933End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models from agencies including the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles project a daytime maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 13 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. These outputs, updated within the past 24 hours, show minimal day-to-day change and align closely with recent observations of 30–31°C highs, keeping the market-implied probability highest for 32°C. Historical September maxima average around 28–30°C, so the current forecast reflects modest above-normal warmth without extreme heat. Traders will watch the next model cycles and any official forecast revisions for small adjustments to peak temperature before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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