Forecast models from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Tel Aviv on September 13, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions featuring moderating sea breezes and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical September lows average 20–23°C, yet recent patterns show warmer baselines with reduced northerly flow, supporting the market's highest implied probability at 25°C. Traders weigh model consensus against potential shifts from updated runs or localized urban heat effects, with lower outcomes like 24°C or below reflecting scenarios of stronger cooling if winds turn. Upcoming forecast updates will refine resolution around official station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 13?
25°C 42%
28°C 34%
26°C 29%
21°C or below 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
27%
22°C
9%
23°C
13%
24°C
20%
25°C
42%
26°C
29%
27°C
19%
28°C
34%
29°C
5%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
6%
25°C 42%
28°C 34%
26°C 29%
21°C or below 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$104 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
13%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C
$5 Vol.
42%
26°C
$48 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
34%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Tel Aviv on September 13, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions featuring moderating sea breezes and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical September lows average 20–23°C, yet recent patterns show warmer baselines with reduced northerly flow, supporting the market's highest implied probability at 25°C. Traders weigh model consensus against potential shifts from updated runs or localized urban heat effects, with lower outcomes like 24°C or below reflecting scenarios of stronger cooling if winds turn. Upcoming forecast updates will refine resolution around official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$156End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Tel Aviv on September 13, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions featuring moderating sea breezes and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical September lows average 20–23°C, yet recent patterns show warmer baselines with reduced northerly flow, supporting the market's highest implied probability at 25°C. Traders weigh model consensus against potential shifts from updated runs or localized urban heat effects, with lower outcomes like 24°C or below reflecting scenarios of stronger cooling if winds turn. Upcoming forecast updates will refine resolution around official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$156End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Tel Aviv on September 13, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions featuring moderating sea breezes and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical September lows average 20–23°C, yet recent patterns show warmer baselines with reduced northerly flow, supporting the market's highest implied probability at 25°C. Traders weigh model consensus against potential shifts from updated runs or localized urban heat effects, with lower outcomes like 24°C or below reflecting scenarios of stronger cooling if winds turn. Upcoming forecast updates will refine resolution around official station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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