Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C in Tokyo on June 6, establishing the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Early June seasonal patterns in central Japan typically feature highs around 22–26°C under increasing humidity and frequent cloud cover from the onset of the rainy season, with ensemble model runs showing limited variability and minimal potential for significant warming or cooling. Official observations from surface stations will determine the final recorded high, with resolution hinging on precise daily maximum readings. While model consensus strongly supports this value, an unexpected shift in steering patterns or localized convective activity could still alter the outcome before final data confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 6?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$85,521 Vol.
$85,521 Vol.
Jun 6, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$85,521 Vol.
$85,521 Vol.
Jun 6, 2026
17°C or below
$1,011 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,304 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,824 Vol.
No
20°C
$11,711 Vol.
No
21°C
$16,844 Vol.
No
22°C
$17,375 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$11,943 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,010 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,564 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,780 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$2,156 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C in Tokyo on June 6, establishing the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Early June seasonal patterns in central Japan typically feature highs around 22–26°C under increasing humidity and frequent cloud cover from the onset of the rainy season, with ensemble model runs showing limited variability and minimal potential for significant warming or cooling. Official observations from surface stations will determine the final recorded high, with resolution hinging on precise daily maximum readings. While model consensus strongly supports this value, an unexpected shift in steering patterns or localized convective activity could still alter the outcome before final data confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$85,521End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C in Tokyo on June 6, establishing the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Early June seasonal patterns in central Japan typically feature highs around 22–26°C under increasing humidity and frequent cloud cover from the onset of the rainy season, with ensemble model runs showing limited variability and minimal potential for significant warming or cooling. Official observations from surface stations will determine the final recorded high, with resolution hinging on precise daily maximum readings. While model consensus strongly supports this value, an unexpected shift in steering patterns or localized convective activity could still alter the outcome before final data confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85,521End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C in Tokyo on June 6, establishing the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Early June seasonal patterns in central Japan typically feature highs around 22–26°C under increasing humidity and frequent cloud cover from the onset of the rainy season, with ensemble model runs showing limited variability and minimal potential for significant warming or cooling. Official observations from surface stations will determine the final recorded high, with resolution hinging on precise daily maximum readings. While model consensus strongly supports this value, an unexpected shift in steering patterns or localized convective activity could still alter the outcome before final data confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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