Meteorological forecasts from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management and major international models converge on a daytime maximum of 23°C in Warsaw on June 3 under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover. This aligns with early-June climatology, where regional highs typically average near 22°C with minimal day-to-day variability at this time of year. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and limited potential for significant deviation. Only a rapid shift in cloud cover allowing stronger solar heating or an unexpected warm advection could realistically push readings above the projected peak, while increased precipitation or stronger winds would more likely suppress temperatures slightly below it.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 3?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 3?
23°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,709 Vol.
$66,709 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,709 Vol.
$66,709 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
20°C or below
$4,121 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,329 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,110 Vol.
No
23°C
$8,915 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$7,815 Vol.
No
25°C
$12,160 Vol.
No
26°C
$11,374 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,099 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,205 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,180 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$401 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management and major international models converge on a daytime maximum of 23°C in Warsaw on June 3 under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover. This aligns with early-June climatology, where regional highs typically average near 22°C with minimal day-to-day variability at this time of year. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and limited potential for significant deviation. Only a rapid shift in cloud cover allowing stronger solar heating or an unexpected warm advection could realistically push readings above the projected peak, while increased precipitation or stronger winds would more likely suppress temperatures slightly below it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$66,709End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management and major international models converge on a daytime maximum of 23°C in Warsaw on June 3 under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover. This aligns with early-June climatology, where regional highs typically average near 22°C with minimal day-to-day variability at this time of year. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and limited potential for significant deviation. Only a rapid shift in cloud cover allowing stronger solar heating or an unexpected warm advection could realistically push readings above the projected peak, while increased precipitation or stronger winds would more likely suppress temperatures slightly below it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$66,709End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Meteorological forecasts from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management and major international models converge on a daytime maximum of 23°C in Warsaw on June 3 under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover. This aligns with early-June climatology, where regional highs typically average near 22°C with minimal day-to-day variability at this time of year. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and limited potential for significant deviation. Only a rapid shift in cloud cover allowing stronger solar heating or an unexpected warm advection could realistically push readings above the projected peak, while increased precipitation or stronger winds would more likely suppress temperatures slightly below it.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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