Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows Wuhan’s September 23 high temperature hinging on variable cloud cover and scattered showers following cooler, rainier conditions on the 21st–22nd. Ensemble runs cluster daily maxima near 25–28 °C, with differences driven by the timing and extent of any residual frontal moisture versus afternoon insolation under partly cloudy skies; higher humidity and light northeasterly flow limit peak heating while clearer breaks allow brief warming toward 29 °C. Historical late-September climatology centers around 27 °C, yet the tight market spread across 25–28 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty that will narrow with updated runs and local observations before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 23?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 23?
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
29°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
23°C or below
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
19%
26°C
23%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
22%
30°C
18%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
29°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
10%
25°C
$5 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
24%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$0 Vol.
18%
31°C
$0 Vol.
16%
32°C
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows Wuhan’s September 23 high temperature hinging on variable cloud cover and scattered showers following cooler, rainier conditions on the 21st–22nd. Ensemble runs cluster daily maxima near 25–28 °C, with differences driven by the timing and extent of any residual frontal moisture versus afternoon insolation under partly cloudy skies; higher humidity and light northeasterly flow limit peak heating while clearer breaks allow brief warming toward 29 °C. Historical late-September climatology centers around 27 °C, yet the tight market spread across 25–28 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty that will narrow with updated runs and local observations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows Wuhan’s September 23 high temperature hinging on variable cloud cover and scattered showers following cooler, rainier conditions on the 21st–22nd. Ensemble runs cluster daily maxima near 25–28 °C, with differences driven by the timing and extent of any residual frontal moisture versus afternoon insolation under partly cloudy skies; higher humidity and light northeasterly flow limit peak heating while clearer breaks allow brief warming toward 29 °C. Historical late-September climatology centers around 27 °C, yet the tight market spread across 25–28 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty that will narrow with updated runs and local observations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows Wuhan’s September 23 high temperature hinging on variable cloud cover and scattered showers following cooler, rainier conditions on the 21st–22nd. Ensemble runs cluster daily maxima near 25–28 °C, with differences driven by the timing and extent of any residual frontal moisture versus afternoon insolation under partly cloudy skies; higher humidity and light northeasterly flow limit peak heating while clearer breaks allow brief warming toward 29 °C. Historical late-September climatology centers around 27 °C, yet the tight market spread across 25–28 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty that will narrow with updated runs and local observations before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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