Juliana Stratton holds a commanding lead in the Illinois U.S. Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests and her strong position as the party's nominee following a March 2026 primary victory backed by Governor J.B. Pritzker. The open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement has not altered the underlying partisan balance, leaving Republican nominee Don Tracy with limited path-to-victory options in a state without a GOP statewide win in over a decade. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though late-cycle developments such as major scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unexpected turnout surges could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$25,555 Vol.
$25,555 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
95%
Don Tracy (R)
2%
$25,555 Vol.
$25,555 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$12,904 Vol.
95%
Don Tracy (R)
$12,651 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton holds a commanding lead in the Illinois U.S. Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests and her strong position as the party's nominee following a March 2026 primary victory backed by Governor J.B. Pritzker. The open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement has not altered the underlying partisan balance, leaving Republican nominee Don Tracy with limited path-to-victory options in a state without a GOP statewide win in over a decade. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though late-cycle developments such as major scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unexpected turnout surges could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$25,555Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton holds a commanding lead in the Illinois U.S. Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests and her strong position as the party's nominee following a March 2026 primary victory backed by Governor J.B. Pritzker. The open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement has not altered the underlying partisan balance, leaving Republican nominee Don Tracy with limited path-to-victory options in a state without a GOP statewide win in over a decade. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though late-cycle developments such as major scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unexpected turnout surges could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$25,555Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Juliana Stratton holds a commanding lead in the Illinois U.S. Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests and her strong position as the party's nominee following a March 2026 primary victory backed by Governor J.B. Pritzker. The open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement has not altered the underlying partisan balance, leaving Republican nominee Don Tracy with limited path-to-victory options in a state without a GOP statewide win in over a decade. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though late-cycle developments such as major scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unexpected turnout surges could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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