Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for New Jersey Senate Election Winner
Politics·New Jersey Midterm

New Jersey Senate Election Winner

icon for New Jersey Senate Election Winner
Politics·New Jersey Midterm

New Jersey Senate Election Winner

Polymarket

$20,503 Vol.

Polymarket

$20,503 Vol.

icon for Cory Booker (D)

Cory Booker (D)

$10,809 Vol.

97%

icon for Justin Murphy (R)

Justin Murphy (R)

$9,694 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Cory Booker holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Jersey Senate race due to his status as a three-term Democratic incumbent in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 1972. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting New Jersey’s consistent partisan lean and Booker’s strong fundraising edge exceeding $22 million. Justin Murphy, a former Tabernacle deputy mayor and Navy veteran, secured the Republican nomination in a fragmented June primary but lacks comparable statewide recognition or resources. With early voting approaching and a scheduled October 8 debate, the race centers on turnout in Democratic strongholds and any late shifts in national conditions. A significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national realignment would be required to alter the current trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$20,503
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Cory Booker holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Jersey Senate race due to his status as a three-term Democratic incumbent in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 1972. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting New Jersey’s consistent partisan lean and Booker’s strong fundraising edge exceeding $22 million. Justin Murphy, a former Tabernacle deputy mayor and Navy veteran, secured the Republican nomination in a fragmented June primary but lacks comparable statewide recognition or resources. With early voting approaching and a scheduled October 8 debate, the race centers on turnout in Democratic strongholds and any late shifts in national conditions. A significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national realignment would be required to alter the current trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$20,503
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Related

icon for Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?

96%
icon for Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

93%
icon for Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?

96%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"New Jersey Senate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cory Booker (D)" at 97%, followed by "Justin Murphy (R)" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Jersey Senate Election Winner" has generated $20.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Jersey Senate Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Jersey Senate Election Winner" is "Cory Booker (D)" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Justin Murphy (R)" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Jersey Senate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.