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icon for Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?

Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?

icon for Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?

Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?

$3,281,367 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$3,281,367 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho de 2026

$2,822,335 Vol.

2%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$460,655 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Indonesia and Israel maintain no formal diplomatic relations, with Jakarta conditioning any normalization on Tel Aviv's recognition of an independent Palestinian state under a two-state framework. President Prabowo Subianto has reiterated this position in 2025 statements, including at the UN General Assembly, while also stressing the need to guarantee Israel's security. Indonesia's OECD accession bid has surfaced as a potential linkage, given Israel's unanimous-member veto power, though earlier 2024 talks collapsed amid the Gaza conflict. Strong domestic opposition, reflected in 2025 polls showing roughly 75 percent against ties, limits flexibility, while ongoing regional tensions and public condemnations of Israeli actions continue to constrain momentum. Any shift would hinge on verifiable progress toward Palestinian statehood or broader diplomatic incentives.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,281,367
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Indonesia and Israel maintain no formal diplomatic relations, with Jakarta conditioning any normalization on Tel Aviv's recognition of an independent Palestinian state under a two-state framework. President Prabowo Subianto has reiterated this position in 2025 statements, including at the UN General Assembly, while also stressing the need to guarantee Israel's security. Indonesia's OECD accession bid has surfaced as a potential linkage, given Israel's unanimous-member veto power, though earlier 2024 talks collapsed amid the Gaza conflict. Strong domestic opposition, reflected in 2025 polls showing roughly 75 percent against ties, limits flexibility, while ongoing regional tensions and public condemnations of Israeli actions continue to constrain momentum. Any shift would hinge on verifiable progress toward Palestinian statehood or broader diplomatic incentives.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,281,367
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 10%, followed by "30 de junho de 2026" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?" has generated $3.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho de 2026" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.