**Opposition parties in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over Premier Cho Jung-tai’s refusal to countersign a revenue-allocation bill that would shift funds toward KMT-controlled local governments.** The May 19, 2026 floor vote produced 56 yes votes against 50 no votes, well short of the 76-vote (two-thirds) supermajority required under the Additional Articles of the Constitution to advance the case to the Constitutional Court. The KMT-TPP coalition plus aligned independents controls roughly 62 of 113 seats, a structural shortfall that has not changed since the failed vote. No new impeachment motion has advanced in the intervening months, and recent reporting through September 2026 shows no scheduled legislative action or electoral shifts capable of altering the arithmetic before year-end. Traders therefore view formal Legislative Yuan approval by December 31, 2026 as highly improbable absent an unforeseen realignment of seats or procedural change.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,359,010 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
3%
$1,359,010 Vol.
December 31
$315 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**Opposition parties in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over Premier Cho Jung-tai’s refusal to countersign a revenue-allocation bill that would shift funds toward KMT-controlled local governments.** The May 19, 2026 floor vote produced 56 yes votes against 50 no votes, well short of the 76-vote (two-thirds) supermajority required under the Additional Articles of the Constitution to advance the case to the Constitutional Court. The KMT-TPP coalition plus aligned independents controls roughly 62 of 113 seats, a structural shortfall that has not changed since the failed vote. No new impeachment motion has advanced in the intervening months, and recent reporting through September 2026 shows no scheduled legislative action or electoral shifts capable of altering the arithmetic before year-end. Traders therefore view formal Legislative Yuan approval by December 31, 2026 as highly improbable absent an unforeseen realignment of seats or procedural change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
Volume
$1,359,010End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**Opposition parties in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over Premier Cho Jung-tai’s refusal to countersign a revenue-allocation bill that would shift funds toward KMT-controlled local governments.** The May 19, 2026 floor vote produced 56 yes votes against 50 no votes, well short of the 76-vote (two-thirds) supermajority required under the Additional Articles of the Constitution to advance the case to the Constitutional Court. The KMT-TPP coalition plus aligned independents controls roughly 62 of 113 seats, a structural shortfall that has not changed since the failed vote. No new impeachment motion has advanced in the intervening months, and recent reporting through September 2026 shows no scheduled legislative action or electoral shifts capable of altering the arithmetic before year-end. Traders therefore view formal Legislative Yuan approval by December 31, 2026 as highly improbable absent an unforeseen realignment of seats or procedural change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$1,359,010End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Opposition parties in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over Premier Cho Jung-tai’s refusal to countersign a revenue-allocation bill that would shift funds toward KMT-controlled local governments.** The May 19, 2026 floor vote produced 56 yes votes against 50 no votes, well short of the 76-vote (two-thirds) supermajority required under the Additional Articles of the Constitution to advance the case to the Constitutional Court. The KMT-TPP coalition plus aligned independents controls roughly 62 of 113 seats, a structural shortfall that has not changed since the failed vote. No new impeachment motion has advanced in the intervening months, and recent reporting through September 2026 shows no scheduled legislative action or electoral shifts capable of altering the arithmetic before year-end. Traders therefore view formal Legislative Yuan approval by December 31, 2026 as highly improbable absent an unforeseen realignment of seats or procedural change.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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