Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan holds 113 seats, with the ruling Democratic Progressive Party controlling 51 and the opposition Kuomintang-TPP coalition holding roughly 62. Impeaching President Lai Ching-te requires a two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes to advance from the legislature to the Constitutional Court. Opposition parties launched proceedings in late 2025 over disputes involving revenue allocation legislation and the premier’s refusal to countersign related bills, but the May 19, 2026, floor vote received only 56 yes votes and failed. No new impeachment motion has advanced since, and current legislative arithmetic plus procedural thresholds continue to constrain prospects ahead of the year-end resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,359,010 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
3%
$1,359,010 Vol.
December 31
$315 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan holds 113 seats, with the ruling Democratic Progressive Party controlling 51 and the opposition Kuomintang-TPP coalition holding roughly 62. Impeaching President Lai Ching-te requires a two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes to advance from the legislature to the Constitutional Court. Opposition parties launched proceedings in late 2025 over disputes involving revenue allocation legislation and the premier’s refusal to countersign related bills, but the May 19, 2026, floor vote received only 56 yes votes and failed. No new impeachment motion has advanced since, and current legislative arithmetic plus procedural thresholds continue to constrain prospects ahead of the year-end resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
Volume
$1,359,010End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan holds 113 seats, with the ruling Democratic Progressive Party controlling 51 and the opposition Kuomintang-TPP coalition holding roughly 62. Impeaching President Lai Ching-te requires a two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes to advance from the legislature to the Constitutional Court. Opposition parties launched proceedings in late 2025 over disputes involving revenue allocation legislation and the premier’s refusal to countersign related bills, but the May 19, 2026, floor vote received only 56 yes votes and failed. No new impeachment motion has advanced since, and current legislative arithmetic plus procedural thresholds continue to constrain prospects ahead of the year-end resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$1,359,010End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan holds 113 seats, with the ruling Democratic Progressive Party controlling 51 and the opposition Kuomintang-TPP coalition holding roughly 62. Impeaching President Lai Ching-te requires a two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes to advance from the legislature to the Constitutional Court. Opposition parties launched proceedings in late 2025 over disputes involving revenue allocation legislation and the premier’s refusal to countersign related bills, but the May 19, 2026, floor vote received only 56 yes votes and failed. No new impeachment motion has advanced since, and current legislative arithmetic plus procedural thresholds continue to constrain prospects ahead of the year-end resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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