Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's September 7 minimum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure maintaining warm overnight conditions under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Persistent high daytime temperatures near 33–35°C have kept the boundary layer warm, while an approaching frontal system and increased moisture are expected to arrive mainly after September 8, introducing only modest uncertainty for the 7th itself. Trader sentiment remains closely split because small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or model resolution of the nocturnal inversion can easily move the low across the 21–25°C range, with historical September minima for the city averaging near 20–22°C providing limited guidance this close to the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 7?
21°C or below 89%
31°C or higher 83%
22°C 49%
27°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
89%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
31%
26°C
30%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
83%
21°C or below 89%
31°C or higher 83%
22°C 49%
27°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
89%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
31%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's September 7 minimum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure maintaining warm overnight conditions under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Persistent high daytime temperatures near 33–35°C have kept the boundary layer warm, while an approaching frontal system and increased moisture are expected to arrive mainly after September 8, introducing only modest uncertainty for the 7th itself. Trader sentiment remains closely split because small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or model resolution of the nocturnal inversion can easily move the low across the 21–25°C range, with historical September minima for the city averaging near 20–22°C providing limited guidance this close to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's September 7 minimum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure maintaining warm overnight conditions under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Persistent high daytime temperatures near 33–35°C have kept the boundary layer warm, while an approaching frontal system and increased moisture are expected to arrive mainly after September 8, introducing only modest uncertainty for the 7th itself. Trader sentiment remains closely split because small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or model resolution of the nocturnal inversion can easily move the low across the 21–25°C range, with historical September minima for the city averaging near 20–22°C providing limited guidance this close to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's September 7 minimum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure maintaining warm overnight conditions under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Persistent high daytime temperatures near 33–35°C have kept the boundary layer warm, while an approaching frontal system and increased moisture are expected to arrive mainly after September 8, introducing only modest uncertainty for the 7th itself. Trader sentiment remains closely split because small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or model resolution of the nocturnal inversion can easily move the low across the 21–25°C range, with historical September minima for the city averaging near 20–22°C providing limited guidance this close to the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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